UKCP18 marine report

M Palmer, T Howard, J Tinker, J Lowe, L Bricheno… - 2018 - nora.nerc.ac.uk
… The UKCP18 interpretation of the projection ranges presented in this report is that there
may be a greater than 10% chance that the real-world response lies outside these ranges and …

[PDF][PDF] UKCP18 science overview report

JA Lowe, D Bernie, P Bett, L Bricheno… - Met Office Hadley …, 2018 - researchgate.net
UKCP18 provides a new set of climate projections and tools to access climate data. The
major innovations in UKCP18 … The involvement of users in the design of UKCP18 has been …

[PDF][PDF] Impacts of climate change on shelf sea stratification, relevant to the coastal and marine environment around the UK

J Sharples, J Holt, S Wakelin - MCCIP Science Review 2020, 2020 - mccip.org.uk
… These complex interactions are explained in more detail in the UKCP18 Marine Report (…
On the basis of these differing results, UKCP18 proposed a best estimate of zero change in …

[PDF][PDF] The impacts of climate change on temperature (air and sea), relevant to the coastal and marine environment around the UK

JP Tinker, EL Howes, S Wakelin, M Menary… - MCCIP Science …, 2020 - researchgate.net
… The latest UK climate projections were released in winter 2018 (UKCP18), the marine report
(… The modelling for the UKCP18 marine report did involve the NWS (for projections and …

[PDF][PDF] Impacts of climate change on transport and infrastructure relevant to the coastal and marine environment around the UK

A Brooks, H Roberts, J Brooke - MCCIP Science Review 2020, 2020 - mccip.org.uk
… For instance, whilst annual maximum significant wave height may increase in places, UKCP18
suggests that average significant wave height may reduce and this could improve access …

Sea-level rise allowances for the UK

T Howard, MD Palmer - Environmental Research …, 2020 - iopscience.iop.org
… The projections of MSL change used here are taken directly from UKCP18-Marine. In this
section, we present a brief synopsis of the UKCP18-Marine methods. Full details are available …

Twenty-first century marine climate projections for the NW European shelf seas based on a perturbed parameter ensemble

J Tinker, MD Palmer, BJ Harrison, E O'Dea… - Ocean …, 2024 - os.copernicus.org
… with the wider CCRA3 findings based on UKCP18. With the evidence call for the upcoming
marine climate projections, based on and consistent with the UKCP18 marine projections. …

The impacts of climate change on sea temperature around the UK and Ireland

RC Cornes, J Tinker, L Hermanson, M Oltmanns… - 2023 - nora.nerc.ac.uk
… A present-day climate control simulation was run for the NWS for the UKCP18 Marine
Report. This gave a 200-year simulation with greenhouse gases fixed at the year 2000 level to …

The evolution of UK sea-level projections

JH Weeks, F Fung, BJ Harrison… - Environmental Research …, 2023 - iopscience.iop.org
UKCP18 global and local mean sea-level projections with those presented in the IPCC Sixth
Assessment Report … land movement, in AR6 compared to UKCP18. We also compare high-…

21st century marine climate projections for the NW European Shelf Seas based on a Perturbed Parameter Ensemble

J Tinker, MD Palmer, BJ Harrison, E O'Dea… - …, 2023 - egusphere.copernicus.org
… Assessment (CCRA3) used UKCP18 as a primary source of … wider CCRA3 findings based
on UKCP18. With the evidence … on, and consistent with the UKCP18 marine 50 projections. …