… new model, UCERF3. This report presents the resultant time‐independent component of
UCERF3, in which we relaxed segmentation and included multifault ruptures via a generalized …

… and visual measures of its fit to independent data subsets, which were then … forecasting
models within the UCERF3 framework that are rejected by the UCERF3 datasets and modeling …

… UCERF3 time‐independent model … time‐independent model are discussed in the UCERF3‐TI
report, so we focus here on those associated with the time‐dependent probability models. …

… time‐independent and long‐term time‐dependent forecasts. This combined model, referred
to as UCERF3‐… of multifault ruptures, an elastic‐rebound model for fault‐based ruptures, and …

… model, UCERF3. This report presents the resultant timeindependent component of UCERF3,
in which we have relaxed segmentation and included multifault ruptures via a generalized …

… of specific models, the third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast (UCERF3) and
its … This is a long‐term, time‐independent (TI) model that gives the average rate (or Poisson …

… The first Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast, Version 3–epidemic…
UCERF3 models earthquakes both on and between explicitly defined faults. Long‐term, time‐independent…

… time‐independent Uniform California ERF (UCERF3‐TI), which has served as the California
… dependence of triggered seismicity cannot be well forecast by any time‐independent model. …

… in the Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast, Version 3 (… in terms of testing models
against the future earthquakes (in … In UCERF3, we applied a water level to rupture rates to …

… recurrence that makes the model time-dependent (hence the name Uniform California … -order
model for the UCERF3-TD logic-tree model using a subset of 11 independent variables that …