Advancements in multi-rupture time-dependent seismic hazard modeling, including fault interaction
Several recent earthquake events (eg, 2008 moment-magnitude (MW) 8.0 Wenchuan,
China; 2016 MW 7.8 Kaikōura earthquake, New Zealand; 2019 MW 6.4–7.1 Ridgecrest …
China; 2016 MW 7.8 Kaikōura earthquake, New Zealand; 2019 MW 6.4–7.1 Ridgecrest …
A synoptic view of the third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast (UCERF3)
EH Field, TH Jordan, MT Page… - Seismological …, 2017 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
Probabilistic forecasting of earthquake‐producing fault ruptures informs all major decisions
aimed at reducing seismic risk and improving earthquake resilience. Earthquake forecasting …
aimed at reducing seismic risk and improving earthquake resilience. Earthquake forecasting …
The USGS 2023 conterminous US time‐independent earthquake rupture forecast
We present the 2023 US Geological Survey time‐independent earthquake rupture forecast
for the conterminous United States, which gives authoritative estimates of the magnitude …
for the conterminous United States, which gives authoritative estimates of the magnitude …
Variable fault geometry suggests detailed fault‐slip‐rate profiles and geometries are needed for fault‐based probabilistic seismic hazard assessment (PSHA)
It has been suggested that a better knowledge of fault locations and slip rates improves
seismic hazard assessments. However, the importance of detailed along‐fault‐slip‐rate …
seismic hazard assessments. However, the importance of detailed along‐fault‐slip‐rate …
SHERIFS: Open‐source code for computing earthquake rates in fault systems and constructing hazard models
T Chartier, O Scotti… - Seismological …, 2019 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
Modeling the seismic potential of active faults and their associated epistemic uncertainties is
a fundamental step of probabilistic seismic‐hazard assessment (PSHA). Seismic hazard and …
a fundamental step of probabilistic seismic‐hazard assessment (PSHA). Seismic hazard and …
Integrating Long and Short‐Term Time Dependencies in Simulation‐Based Seismic Hazard Assessments
Conventional probabilistic seismic hazard analysis (PSHA) only considers mainshock
events and uses a time‐independent earthquake rupture forecast to describe the occurrence …
events and uses a time‐independent earthquake rupture forecast to describe the occurrence …
Uniform California earthquake rupture forecast, version 3 (UCERF3)—The time‐independent model
EH Field, RJ Arrowsmith, GP Biasi… - Bulletin of the …, 2014 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
Abstract The 2014 Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities (WGCEP14)
present the time‐independent component of the Uniform California Earthquake Rupture …
present the time‐independent component of the Uniform California Earthquake Rupture …
Computational tools for relaxing the fault segmentation in probabilistic seismic hazard modelling in complex fault systems
Use of faults in seismic hazard models allows us to capture the recurrence of large-
magnitude events and therefore improve the reliability of probabilistic seismic hazard …
magnitude events and therefore improve the reliability of probabilistic seismic hazard …
Long‐term slip history discriminates among occurrence models for seismic hazard assessment
DD Fitzenz, MA Ferry… - Geophysical research …, 2010 - Wiley Online Library
Today, the probabilistic seismic hazard assessment (PSHA) community relies on stochastic
models to compute occurrence probabilities for large earthquakes. Considerable efforts …
models to compute occurrence probabilities for large earthquakes. Considerable efforts …
Long‐term time‐dependent probabilities for the third Uniform California Earthquake Rupture Forecast (UCERF3)
EH Field, GP Biasi, P Bird… - Bulletin of the …, 2015 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
Abstract The 2014 Working Group on California Earthquake Probabilities (WGCEP 2014)
presents time‐dependent earthquake probabilities for the third Uniform California …
presents time‐dependent earthquake probabilities for the third Uniform California …