Modelling the Stochastic Importation Dynamics and Establishment of Novel Pathogenic Strains using a General Branching Processes Framework

J Curran-Sebastian, FM Andersen, S Bhatt - arXiv preprint arXiv …, 2024 - arxiv.org
The importation and subsequent establishment of novel pathogenic strains in a population is
subject to a large degree of uncertainty due to the stochastic nature of the disease dynamics …

First passage time and peak size probability distributions for a complex epidemic model

S Kumari, PS Mandal, M Sen - The European Physical Journal Plus, 2024 - Springer
The potential of zoonotic diseases to cross-species physical boundaries makes them a
persistent threat to global public health. Of all the zoonoses, the bubonic plague serves as a …

[HTML][HTML] Computation of random time-shift distributions for stochastic population models

D Morris, J Maclean, AJ Black - Journal of Mathematical Biology, 2024 - Springer
Even in large systems, the effect of noise arising from when populations are initially small
can persist to be measurable on the macroscale. A deterministic approximation to a …

[PDF][PDF] A Complete Bibliography of Publications in SIAM slash ASA Journal on Uncertainty Quantification

NHF Beebe - 2024 - 155.101.98.136
CHKP19, DMS23, Dia23, DY21, EFF+23, ESS15, EDA23, GP18, GBC+14, GGS23, GG24,
GP24, GK19, HS21, HSAY20, HQS21, HN17, Hos17, HKZ18a, HKZ18b, KLLU19, KBS13 …