[HTML][HTML] Redefining pandemic preparedness: Multidisciplinary insights from the CERP modelling workshop in infectious diseases, workshop report

MC Nunes, E Thommes, H Fröhlich, A Flahault… - Infectious Disease …, 2024 - Elsevier
Abstract In July 2023, the Center of Excellence in Respiratory Pathogens organized a two-
day workshop on infectious diseases modelling and the lessons learnt from the Covid-19 …

[HTML][HTML] Scenario Design for Infectious Disease Projections: Integrating Concepts from Decision Analysis and Experimental Design

MC Runge, K Shea, E Howerton, K Yan, H Hochheiser… - Epidemics, 2024 - Elsevier
Across many fields, scenario modeling has become an important tool for exploring long-term
projections and how they might depend on potential interventions and critical uncertainties …

[HTML][HTML] Public health impact of the US Scenario Modeling Hub

RK Borchering, JM Healy, BL Cadwell, MA Johansson… - Epidemics, 2023 - Elsevier
Beginning in December 2020, the COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub has provided
quantitative scenario-based projections for cases, hospitalizations, and deaths, aggregated …

Potential impact of annual vaccination with reformulated COVID-19 vaccines: lessons from the US COVID-19 Scenario Modeling Hub

S Jung, SL Loo, E Howerton, L Contamin… - Plos …, 2024 - journals.plos.org
Background Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) continues to cause significant
hospitalizations and deaths in the United States. Its continued burden and the impact of …

[HTML][HTML] The variations of SIkJalpha model for COVID-19 forecasting and scenario projections

A Srivastava - Epidemics, 2023 - Elsevier
We proposed the SIkJalpha model at the beginning of the COVID-19 pandemic (early 2020).
Since then, as the pandemic evolved, more complexities were added to capture crucial …

[HTML][HTML] Evaluation of FluSight influenza forecasting in the 2021–22 and 2022–23 seasons with a new target laboratory-confirmed influenza hospitalizations

SM Mathis, AE Webber, TM León, EL Murray, M Sun… - medRxiv, 2023 - ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
Accurate forecasts can enable more effective public health responses during seasonal
influenza epidemics. Forecasting teams were asked to provide national and jurisdiction …

[HTML][HTML] Projecting the future impact of emerging SARS-CoV-2 variants under uncertainty: Modeling the initial Omicron outbreak

S Moore, S Cavany, TA Perkins, GFC España - Epidemics, 2024 - Elsevier
Over the past several years, the emergence of novel SARS-CoV-2 variants has led to
multiple waves of increased COVID-19 incidence. When the Omicron variant emerged, there …

An inaugural forum on epidemiological modeling for public health stakeholders in Arizona

JR Mihaljevic, C Chief, M Malik, K Oshinubi… - Frontiers in Public …, 2024 - frontiersin.org
Epidemiological models—which help us understand and forecast the spread of infectious
disease—can be valuable tools for public health. However, barriers exist that can make it …