This paper reviews half a century of research into the determinants of fertility. It is argued that
the quest for the determinants of fertility behaviour and change during that period can best …

Approaches and developments in demographic and population forecasting since 1980 are
reviewed. Three approaches to forecasting demographic processes are extrapolation …

This article presents a narrative of the unfolding of the Second Demographic Transition
(SDT) since the theory was first formulated in 1986. The first part recapitulates the …

This is the first book to comprehensively apply the fundamental tools and concepts of
demography to a nonhuman species. It provides clear and concise treatment of standard …

When the second edition of this book was nearly exhausted, and orders were grinding to a
halt, Springer urged me to do a third edition. At the age of 90 I said that was out of the …

Direct evidence on age patterns of infecundity and sterility cannot be obtained from
contemporary populations because such large fractions of couples use contraception or …

Over the next 20 years, most low-income countries will, for the first time, become more urban
than rural. Understanding demographic trends in the cities of the developing world is critical …

MODEL MIGRATION SCHEDULES Page 1 MODEL MIGRATION SCHEDULES Andrei Rogers
and Luis J. Castro International Institute for Applied System Analysis, Austria RR-8 1 -30 …

A number of recent surveys show that fertility has begun to decline in Botswana, Zimbabwe,
Kenya, and southern Nigeria. This study of an urban area in southwest Nigeria confirms a …

I propose the log-multiplicative layer effect model for comparing mobility tables. The model
constrains cross-table variation in the origin-destination association to be the log …