Advanced spectral methods for climatic time series

M Ghil, MR Allen, MD Dettinger, K Ide… - Reviews of …, 2002 - Wiley Online Library
The analysis of univariate or multivariate time series provides crucial information to describe,
understand, and predict climatic variability. The discovery and implementation of a number …

The physics of climate variability and climate change

M Ghil, V Lucarini - Reviews of Modern Physics, 2020 - APS
The climate is a forced, dissipative, nonlinear, complex, and heterogeneous system that is
out of thermodynamic equilibrium. The system exhibits natural variability on many scales of …

Robust estimation of background noise and signal detection in climatic time series

ME Mann, JM Lees - Climatic change, 1996 - Springer
We present a new technique for isolating climate signals in time series with a characteristic
'red'noise background which arises from temporal persistence. This background is estimated …

[图书][B] Singular spectrum analysis: a new tool in time series analysis

JB Elsner, AA Tsonis - 2013 - books.google.com
The term singular spectrum comes from the spectral (eigenvalue) decomposition of a matrix
A into its set (spectrum) of eigenvalues. These eigenvalues, A, are the numbers that make …

[HTML][HTML] Skillful prediction of northern climate provided by the ocean

M Årthun, T Eldevik, E Viste, H Drange… - Nature …, 2017 - nature.com
It is commonly understood that a potential for skillful climate prediction resides in the ocean.
It nevertheless remains unresolved to what extent variable ocean heat is imprinted on the …

Trends, interdecadal and interannual oscillations in global sea-surface temperatures

V Moron, R Vautard, M Ghil - Climate Dynamics, 1998 - Springer
This study aims at a global description of climatic phenomena that exhibit some regularity
during the twentieth century. Multi-channel singular spectrum analysis is used to extract long …

[图书][B] Weather cycles: real or imaginary?

WJ Burroughs - 2003 - books.google.com
This completely updated new edition of Weather Cycles: Real or Imaginary? explores in
detail the unresolved debate on the existence of weather cycles. The book examines the …

Using data to attribute episodes of warming and cooling in instrumental records

KK Tung, J Zhou - Proceedings of the National Academy of …, 2013 - National Acad Sciences
The observed global-warming rate has been nonuniform, and the cause of each episode of
slowing in the expected warming rate is the subject of intense debate. To explain this …

Global interdecadal and century-scale climate oscillations during the past five centuries

ME Mann, J Park, RS Bradley - Nature, 1995 - nature.com
THE recognition of natural modes of climate variability is essential for a better understanding
of the factors that govern climate change. Recent models suggest that interdecadal (roughly …

Low‐frequency variability of the large‐scale ocean circulation: A dynamical systems approach

HA Dijkstra, M Ghil - Reviews of Geophysics, 2005 - Wiley Online Library
Oceanic variability on interannual, interdecadal, and longer timescales plays a key role in
climate variability and climate change. Paleoclimatic records suggest major changes in the …