Financial machine learning

B Kelly, D Xiu - Foundations and Trends® in Finance, 2023 - nowpublishers.com
We survey the nascent literature on machine learning in the study of financial markets. We
highlight the best examples of what this line of research has to offer and recommend …

Asset pricing and machine learning: a critical review

M Bagnara - Journal of Economic Surveys, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
The latest development in empirical Asset Pricing is the use of Machine Learning methods to
address the problem of the factor zoo. These techniques offer great flexibility and prediction …

AlphaPortfolio: Direct construction through deep reinforcement learning and interpretable AI

LW Cong, K Tang, J Wang, Y Zhang - Available at SSRN 3554486, 2021 - papers.ssrn.com
We directly optimize the objectives of portfolio management via deep reinforcement learning-
--an alternative to conventional supervised-learning paradigms that routinely entail first-step …

[PDF][PDF] Complexity in factor pricing models

A Didisheim, SB Ke, BT Kelly, S Malamud - 2023 - aeaweb.org
Complexity in Factor Pricing Models Page 1 Complexity in Factor Pricing Models Antoine
Didisheim Shikun (Barry) Ke Bryan Kelly Semyon Malamud Uni. Melbourne Yale Yale EPFL AFA …

Attention is all you need: An interpretable transformer-based asset allocation approach

T Ma, W Wang, Y Chen - International Review of Financial Analysis, 2023 - Elsevier
Deep learning technology is rapidly adopted in financial market settings. Using a large data
set from the Chinese stock market, we propose a return-risk trade-off strategy via a new …

Learning to generate explainable stock predictions using self-reflective large language models

KJL Koa, Y Ma, R Ng, TS Chua - Proceedings of the ACM on Web …, 2024 - dl.acm.org
Explaining stock predictions is generally a difficult task for traditional non-generative deep
learning models, where explanations are limited to visualizing the attention weights on …

[HTML][HTML] When do investors go green? Evidence from a time-varying asset-pricing model

L Alessi, E Ossola, R Panzica - International review of financial analysis, 2023 - Elsevier
This study employs individual stock returns to examine the evolution of the greenium, which
is the risk premium linked to firms' carbon emissions and environmental transparency. We …

Machine learning and the cross-section of cryptocurrency returns

N Cakici, SJH Shahzad, B Będowska-Sójka… - International Review of …, 2024 - Elsevier
We employ a repertoire of machine learning models to investigate the cross-sectional return
predictability in cryptocurrency markets. While all methods generate substantial economic …

Large (and Deep) Factor Models

B Kelly, B Kuznetsov, S Malamud, TA Xu - arXiv preprint arXiv:2402.06635, 2024 - arxiv.org
We open up the black box behind Deep Learning for portfolio optimization and prove that a
sufficiently wide and arbitrarily deep neural network (DNN) trained to maximize the Sharpe …

Deep Learning from Implied Volatility Surfaces

BT Kelly, B Kuznetsov, S Malamud… - Swiss Finance Institute …, 2023 - papers.ssrn.com
We develop a novel methodology for extracting information from option implied volatility (IV)
surfaces for the cross-section of stock returns, using image recognition techniques from …