Real-time epidemic forecasting: challenges and opportunities
Infectious disease outbreaks play an important role in global morbidity and mortality. Real-
time epidemic forecasting provides an opportunity to predict geographic disease spread as …
time epidemic forecasting provides an opportunity to predict geographic disease spread as …
Global distribution and environmental suitability for chikungunya virus, 1952 to 2015
Chikungunya fever is an acute febrile illness caused by the chikungunya virus (CHIKV),
which is transmitted to humans by Aedes mosquitoes. Although chikungunya fever is rarely …
which is transmitted to humans by Aedes mosquitoes. Although chikungunya fever is rarely …
Local, national, and regional viral haemorrhagic fever pandemic potential in Africa: a multistage analysis
Background Predicting when and where pathogens will emerge is difficult, yet, as shown by
the recent Ebola and Zika epidemics, effective and timely responses are key. It is therefore …
the recent Ebola and Zika epidemics, effective and timely responses are key. It is therefore …
Influence of transportation network on transmission heterogeneity of COVID-19 in China
In this paper, we propose a novel approach to model spatial heterogeneity for epidemic
spreading, which combines the relevance of transport proximity in human movement and the …
spreading, which combines the relevance of transport proximity in human movement and the …
Utilizing general human movement models to predict the spread of emerging infectious diseases in resource poor settings
Human mobility is an important driver of geographic spread of infectious pathogens.
Detailed information about human movements during outbreaks are, however, difficult to …
Detailed information about human movements during outbreaks are, however, difficult to …
[HTML][HTML] AI for science: predicting infectious diseases
The global health landscape has been persistently challenged by the emergence and re-
emergence of infectious diseases. Traditional epidemiological models, rooted in the early …
emergence of infectious diseases. Traditional epidemiological models, rooted in the early …
Spatial and spatio-temporal methods for mapping malaria risk: a systematic review
Background Approaches in malaria risk mapping continue to advance in scope with the
advent of geostatistical techniques spanning both the spatial and temporal domains. A …
advent of geostatistical techniques spanning both the spatial and temporal domains. A …
Pathogeography: leveraging the biogeography of human infectious diseases for global health management
Biogeography is an implicit and fundamental component of almost every dimension of
modern biology, from natural selection and speciation to invasive species and biodiversity …
modern biology, from natural selection and speciation to invasive species and biodiversity …
Lyme disease risks in Europe under multiple uncertain drivers of change
Background: Debates over whether climate change could lead to the amplification of Lyme
disease (LD) risk in the future have received much attention. Although recent large-scale …
disease (LD) risk in the future have received much attention. Although recent large-scale …