Vegetation demographics in Earth System Models: A review of progress and priorities

RA Fisher, CD Koven, WRL Anderegg… - Global change …, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
Numerous current efforts seek to improve the representation of ecosystem ecology and
vegetation demographic processes within Earth System Models (ESM s). These …

Progressing emergent constraints on future climate change

A Hall, P Cox, C Huntingford, S Klein - Nature Climate Change, 2019 - nature.com
In recent years, an evaluation technique for Earth System Models (ESMs) has arisen—
emergent constraints (ECs)—which rely on strong statistical relationships between aspects …

[HTML][HTML] Twenty-first century ocean warming, acidification, deoxygenation, and upper-ocean nutrient and primary production decline from CMIP6 model projections

L Kwiatkowski, O Torres, L Bopp, O Aumont… - …, 2020 - bg.copernicus.org
Anthropogenic climate change is projected to lead to ocean warming, acidification,
deoxygenation, reductions in near-surface nutrients, and changes to primary production, all …

Causes of higher climate sensitivity in CMIP6 models

MD Zelinka, TA Myers, DT McCoy… - Geophysical …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Equilibrium climate sensitivity, the global surface temperature response to CO doubling, has
been persistently uncertain. Recent consensus places it likely within 1.5–4.5 K. Global …

Framing, Context, and Methods (Chapter 1)

D Chen, M Rojas, BH Samset, K Cobb… - 2021 - pure.iiasa.ac.at
Working Group I (WGI) of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) assesses
the current evidence on the physical science of climate change, evaluating knowledge …

Microclimate and forest density drive plant population dynamics under climate change

P Sanczuk, K De Pauw, E De Lombaerde… - Nature Climate …, 2023 - nature.com
Macroclimatic changes are impacting ecosystems worldwide. However, a large portion of
terrestrial species live under conditions where impacts of macroclimate change are buffered …

[HTML][HTML] Partitioning climate projection uncertainty with multiple large ensembles and CMIP5/6

F Lehner, C Deser, N Maher, J Marotzke… - Earth System …, 2020 - esd.copernicus.org
Partitioning uncertainty in projections of future climate change into contributions from
internal variability, model response uncertainty and emissions scenarios has historically …

[HTML][HTML] Climate change and the Syrian civil war revisited

J Selby, OS Dahi, C Fröhlich, M Hulme - Political Geography, 2017 - Elsevier
For proponents of the view that anthropogenic climate change will become a 'threat
multiplier'for instability in the decades ahead, the Syrian civil war has become a recurring …

[HTML][HTML] Reduced global warming from CMIP6 projections when weighting models by performance and independence

L Brunner, AG Pendergrass, F Lehner… - Earth System …, 2020 - esd.copernicus.org
The sixth Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP6) constitutes the latest update on
expected future climate change based on a new generation of climate models. To extract …

Different facets of the same niche: Integrating citizen science and scientific survey data to predict biological invasion risk under multiple global change drivers

M Di Febbraro, L Bosso, M Fasola… - Global Change …, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
Citizen science initiatives have been increasingly used by researchers as a source of
occurrence data to model the distribution of alien species. Since citizen science presence …