A guide to systematic review and meta-analysis of prognostic factor studies

RD Riley, KGM Moons, KIE Snell, J Ensor, L Hooft… - bmj, 2019 - bmj.com
Prognostic factors are associated with the risk of future health outcomes in individuals with a
particular health condition or some clinical start point (eg, a particular diagnosis). Research …

Methodological standards for the development and evaluation of clinical prediction rules: a review of the literature

LE Cowley, DM Farewell, S Maguire… - Diagnostic and prognostic …, 2019 - Springer
Clinical prediction rules (CPRs) that predict the absolute risk of a clinical condition or future
outcome for individual patients are abundant in the medical literature; however, systematic …

PROBAST: a tool to assess risk of bias and applicability of prediction model studies: explanation and elaboration

KGM Moons, RF Wolff, RD Riley, PF Whiting… - Annals of internal …, 2019 - acpjournals.org
Prediction models in health care use predictors to estimate for an individual the probability
that a condition or disease is already present (diagnostic model) or will occur in the future …

There is no such thing as a validated prediction model

B Van Calster, EW Steyerberg, L Wynants… - BMC medicine, 2023 - Springer
Background Clinical prediction models should be validated before implementation in clinical
practice. But is favorable performance at internal validation or one external validation …

Minimum sample size for external validation of a clinical prediction model with a binary outcome

RD Riley, TPA Debray, GS Collins, L Archer… - Statistics in …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
In prediction model research, external validation is needed to examine an existing model's
performance using data independent to that for model development. Current external …

Transparent reporting of multivariable prediction models for individual prognosis or diagnosis: checklist for systematic reviews and meta-analyses (TRIPOD-SRMA)

KIE Snell, B Levis, JAA Damen, P Dhiman, TPA Debray… - bmj, 2023 - bmj.com
Most clinical specialties have a plethora of studies that develop or validate one or more
prediction models, for example, to inform diagnosis or prognosis. Having many prediction …

Prognostic models for outcome prediction in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease: systematic review and critical appraisal

V Bellou, L Belbasis, AK Konstantinidis, I Tzoulaki… - Bmj, 2019 - bmj.com
Objective To map and assess prognostic models for outcome prediction in patients with
chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). Design Systematic review. Data sources …

Use and performance of machine learning models for type 2 diabetes prediction in community settings: A systematic review and meta-analysis

K De Silva, WK Lee, A Forbes, RT Demmer… - International journal of …, 2020 - Elsevier
Objective We aimed to identify machine learning (ML) models for type 2 diabetes (T2DM)
prediction in community settings and determine their predictive performance. Method …

Predictive accuracy of stroke risk prediction models across black and white race, sex, and age groups

C Hong, MJ Pencina, DM Wojdyla, JL Hall, SE Judd… - Jama, 2023 - jamanetwork.com
Importance Stroke is the fifth-highest cause of death in the US and a leading cause of
serious long-term disability with particularly high risk in Black individuals. Quality risk …

[HTML][HTML] External validation of clinical prediction models: simulation-based sample size calculations were more reliable than rules-of-thumb

KIE Snell, L Archer, J Ensor, LJ Bonnett… - Journal of clinical …, 2021 - Elsevier
Introduction Sample size “rules-of-thumb” for external validation of clinical prediction models
suggest at least 100 events and 100 non-events. Such blanket guidance is imprecise, and …