Dynamic microsimulation models for health outcomes: a review

CM Rutter, AM Zaslavsky… - Medical Decision …, 2011 - journals.sagepub.com
Background. Microsimulation models (MSMs) for health outcomes simulate individual event
histories associated with key components of a disease process; these simulated life histories …

Fusing physics-based and deep learning models for prognostics

MA Chao, C Kulkarni, K Goebel, O Fink - Reliability Engineering & System …, 2022 - Elsevier
Physics-based and data-driven models for remaining useful lifetime (RUL) prediction
typically suffer from two major challenges that limit their applicability to complex real-world …

Bayesian methods for calibrating health policy models: a tutorial

NA Menzies, DI Soeteman, A Pandya, JJ Kim - Pharmacoeconomics, 2017 - Springer
Mathematical simulation models are commonly used to inform health policy decisions.
These health policy models represent the social and biological mechanisms that determine …

Calibration and validation of the colorectal cancer and adenoma incidence and mortality (CRC-AIM) microsimulation model using deep neural networks

V Vahdat, O Alagoz, JV Chen, L Saoud… - Medical Decision …, 2023 - journals.sagepub.com
Objectives Machine learning (ML)–based emulators improve the calibration of decision-
analytical models, but their performance in complex microsimulation models is yet to be …

Real-time model calibration with deep reinforcement learning

Y Tian, MA Chao, C Kulkarni, K Goebel… - Mechanical Systems and …, 2022 - Elsevier
The real-time, and accurate inference of model parameters is of great importance in many
scientific and engineering disciplines that use computational models (such as a digital twin) …

An updated natural history model of cervical cancer: derivation of model parameters

NG Campos, EA Burger, S Sy, M Sharma… - American journal of …, 2014 - academic.oup.com
Mathematical models of cervical cancer have been widely used to evaluate the comparative
effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of preventive strategies. Major advances in the …

Validation of models used to inform colorectal cancer screening guidelines: accuracy and implications

CM Rutter, AB Knudsen, TL Marsh… - Medical Decision …, 2016 - journals.sagepub.com
Background. Microsimulation models synthesize evidence about disease processes and
interventions, providing a method for predicting long-term benefits and harms of prevention …

[HTML][HTML] Microsimulation model calibration using incremental mixture approximate Bayesian computation

CM Rutter, J Ozik, M DeYoreo… - The Annals of Applied …, 2019 - ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
Microsimulation models (MSMs) are used to inform policy by predicting population-level
outcomes under different scenarios. MSMs simulate individual-level event histories that …

Bayesian calibration of a natural history model with application to a population model for colorectal cancer

S Whyte, C Walsh, J Chilcott - Medical decision making, 2011 - journals.sagepub.com
Background. Cancer natural history models are essential when evaluating
screening/preventative interventions or changes to diagnostic pathways. Natural history …

Estimating the impact of differential adherence on the comparative effectiveness of stool-based colorectal cancer screening using the CRC-AIM microsimulation model

A Piscitello, L Saoud, AM Fendrick, BJ Borah… - PLoS …, 2020 - journals.plos.org
Background Real-world adherence to colorectal cancer (CRC) screening strategies is
imperfect. The CRC-AIM microsimulation model was used to estimate the impact of imperfect …