Factor models, machine learning, and asset pricing

S Giglio, B Kelly, D Xiu - Annual Review of Financial Economics, 2022 - annualreviews.org
We survey recent methodological contributions in asset pricing using factor models and
machine learning. We organize these results based on their primary objectives: estimating …

Value and growth investing: Review and update

LKC Chan, J Lakonishok - Financial Analysts Journal, 2004 - Taylor & Francis
A great deal of academic empirical research has been published on value and growth
investing. We review and update this literature, discuss the various explanations for the …

Financial machine learning

B Kelly, D Xiu - Foundations and Trends® in Finance, 2023 - nowpublishers.com
We survey the nascent literature on machine learning in the study of financial markets. We
highlight the best examples of what this line of research has to offer and recommend …

Empirical asset pricing via machine learning

S Gu, B Kelly, D Xiu - The Review of Financial Studies, 2020 - academic.oup.com
We perform a comparative analysis of machine learning methods for the canonical problem
of empirical asset pricing: measuring asset risk premiums. We demonstrate large economic …

Characteristics are covariances: A unified model of risk and return

BT Kelly, S Pruitt, Y Su - Journal of Financial Economics, 2019 - Elsevier
We propose a new modeling approach for the cross section of returns. Our method,
Instrumented Principal Component Analysis (IPCA), allows for latent factors and time …

… and the cross-section of expected returns

CR Harvey, Y Liu, H Zhu - The Review of Financial Studies, 2016 - academic.oup.com
Hundreds of papers and factors attempt to explain the cross-section of expected returns.
Given this extensive data mining, it does not make sense to use the usual criteria for …

Forecasting stock returns

D Rapach, G Zhou - Handbook of economic forecasting, 2013 - Elsevier
We survey the literature on stock return forecasting, highlighting the challenges faced by
forecasters as well as strategies for improving return forecasts. We focus on US equity …

Forecasting the equity risk premium: the role of technical indicators

CJ Neely, DE Rapach, J Tu, G Zhou - Management science, 2014 - pubsonline.informs.org
Academic research relies extensively on macroeconomic variables to forecast the US equity
risk premium, with relatively little attention paid to the technical indicators widely employed …

Modeling corporate bond returns

B Kelly, D Palhares, S Pruitt - The Journal of Finance, 2023 - Wiley Online Library
We propose a conditional factor model for corporate bond returns with five factors and time‐
varying factor loadings. We have three main empirical findings. First, our factor model excels …

Conditional skewness in asset pricing tests

CR Harvey, A Siddique - The Journal of finance, 2000 - Wiley Online Library
If asset returns have systematic skewness, expected returns should include rewards for
accepting this risk. We formalize this intuition with an asset pricing model that incorporates …