Seismic hazard analyses from geologic and geomorphic data: Current and future challenges

KD Morell, R Styron, M Stirling, J Griffin, R Archuleta… - …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
The loss of life and economic consequences caused by several recent earthquakes
demonstrate the importance of developing seismically safe building codes. The …

Late Quaternary slip rates for the Hyde and Dunstan faults, southern New Zealand: Implications for strain migration in a slowly deforming continental plate margin

JD Griffin, MW Stirling, KM Wilcken, DJA Barrell - Tectonics, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
Reverse faulting in Otago, southern New Zealand, accommodates distributed tectonic
convergence on the eastern side of the Australian‐Pacific plate boundary. Paleoearthquake …

Episodic behavior of the Jordan Valley section of the Dead Sea fault inferred from a 14-ka-long integrated catalog of large earthquakes

M Ferry, M Meghraoui… - Bulletin of the …, 2011 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
The continuous record of large surface-rupturing earthquakes along the Dead Sea fault
brings unprecedented insights for paleoseismic and archaeoseismic research. In most …

[HTML][HTML] 中国陆区活动地块边界带主要断层10 年尺度强震发生概率

王芃, 邵志刚, 刘晓霞, 尹晓菲 - 地球物理学报, 2022 - dzkx.org
中国陆区孕震环境具有“垂向分层, 横向分块” 的特征, 活动地块边界带对中国陆区的强震具有
控制作用, 针对活动地块边界带主要断层开展10 年尺度强震危险性定量研究对抗震设防工作有 …

Ten-year probability of strong earthquakes on major faults in boundaries of active blocks in Chinese continent

P WANG, ZG SHAO, XX LIU, XF YIN - Chinese Journal of Geophysics, 2022 - en.dzkx.org
Seismogenic environment in Chinese continent is layered vertically and partitioned
horizontally. The boundaries of active blocks controlled strong earthquakes in Chinese …

Why do large earthquakes appear to be rarely “overdue” for Aotearoa New Zealand faults?

A Nicol, V Mouslopoulou… - Seismological …, 2024 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
Understanding temporal patterns of surface‐rupturing earthquakes is critical for seismic
hazard assessment. We examine these patterns by collating elapsed time and recurrence …

Bayesian forecasting of recurrent earthquakes and predictive performance for a small sample size

S Nomura, Y Ogata, F Komaki… - Journal of Geophysical …, 2011 - Wiley Online Library
This paper presents a Bayesian method of probability forecasting for a renewal of
earthquakes. When only limited records of characteristic earthquakes on a fault are …

Conditional probability of rupture of the Wairarapa and Ōhariu faults, New Zealand

R Van Dissen, D Rhoades, T Little… - New Zealand Journal …, 2013 - Taylor & Francis
New information on the timing of past ruptures, size of single-event displacements and
Holocene dextral slip rate of the Wairarapa and Ōhariu faults has become available from …

A statistical model for earthquake recurrence based on the assimilation of paleoseismicity, historic seismicity, and instrumental seismicity

G Zöller - Journal of Geophysical Research: Solid Earth, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
Paleoearthquakes and historic earthquakes are the most important source of information for
the estimation of long‐term earthquake recurrence intervals in fault zones, because …

Building time‐dependent earthquake recurrence models for probabilistic risk computations

DD Fitzenz, M Nyst - Bulletin of the Seismological …, 2015 - pubs.geoscienceworld.org
We present a risk assessment perspective on earthquake recurrence on mature faults and
the ways that it can be modeled. Specific needs unique to risk models compared with …