Methods for small area population forecasts: State-of-the-art and research needs
T Wilson, I Grossman, M Alexander, P Rees… - … Research and Policy …, 2022 - Springer
Small area population forecasts are widely used by government and business for a variety of
planning, research and policy purposes, and often influence major investment decisions …
planning, research and policy purposes, and often influence major investment decisions …
Policy responses to urban shrinkage: From growth thinking to civic engagement
GJ Hospers - European planning studies, 2014 - Taylor & Francis
More and more European cities are confronted with population decline in a structural sense.
This development of “urban shrinkage” has different causes, but similar effects: the city's …
This development of “urban shrinkage” has different causes, but similar effects: the city's …
An overview of population projections—methodological concepts, international data availability, and use cases
P Vanella, P Deschermeier, CB Wilke - Forecasting, 2020 - mdpi.com
Population projections serve various actors at subnational, national, and international levels
as a quantitative basis for political and economic decision-making. Usually, the users are no …
as a quantitative basis for political and economic decision-making. Usually, the users are no …
Urban and rural population growth in a spatial panel of municipalities
D Firmino Costa da Silva, JP Elhorst… - Regional …, 2017 - Taylor & Francis
Urban and rural population growth in a spatial panel of municipalities. Regional Studies.
Using Bayesian posterior model probabilities and data pertaining to 3659 Brazilian …
Using Bayesian posterior model probabilities and data pertaining to 3659 Brazilian …
[PDF][PDF] On the relationship among values of the same summary measure of error when used across multiple characteristics at the same point in time: an examination of …
DA Swanson - Review of Economics and Finance, 2015 - escholarship.org
This paper deals with an issue that appears to be unexplored by demographers and others
who conduct cross-sectional forecasts of populations with multiple characteristics. The issue …
who conduct cross-sectional forecasts of populations with multiple characteristics. The issue …
An Open‐Source Model for Projecting Small Area Demographic and Land‐Use Change
The size, composition, and spatial distribution of both people and households have a
substantial impact on the demand for and development and delivery of infrastructure …
substantial impact on the demand for and development and delivery of infrastructure …
New evaluations of simple models for small area population forecasts
T Wilson - Population, Space and Place, 2015 - Wiley Online Library
At the small area scale simple methods for forecasting total populations are often employed
because of a lack of data for cohort‐component models, concerns about the reliability of …
because of a lack of data for cohort‐component models, concerns about the reliability of …
Probabilistic county-level population projections
Population projections provide predictions of future population sizes for an area. Historically,
most population projections have been produced using deterministic or scenario-based …
most population projections have been produced using deterministic or scenario-based …
Small-area population forecasting: A geographically weighted regression approach
The regression approach for small-area population forecasting is increasingly used in urban
planning and emerging research in climate change and infrastructure systems in response …
planning and emerging research in climate change and infrastructure systems in response …
Evaluation of the best M4 competition methods for small area population forecasting
T Wilson, I Grossman, J Temple - International Journal of Forecasting, 2023 - Elsevier
The 'M4'forecasting competition results were featured recently in a special issue of the
International Journal of Forecasting and included projections for demographic time series …
International Journal of Forecasting and included projections for demographic time series …