[HTML][HTML] Modeling and forecasting of COVID-19 growth curve in India

VK Sharma, U Nigam - Transactions of the Indian National Academy of …, 2020 - Springer
In this article, we analyze the growth pattern of COVID-19 pandemic in India from March 4 to
July 11 using regression analysis (exponential and polynomial), auto-regressive integrated …

Prediction intervals of the COVID-19 cases by HAR models with growth rates and vaccination rates in top eight affected countries: Bootstrap improvement

E Hwang - Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, 2022 - Elsevier
This paper is devoted to modeling and predicting COVID-19 confirmed cases through a
multiple linear regression. Especially, prediction intervals of the COVID-19 cases are …

[HTML][HTML] Evolution of COVID-19 pandemic in India

A Asad, S Srivastava, MK Verma - … of the Indian National Academy of …, 2020 - Springer
A mathematical analysis of patterns for the evolution of COVID-19 cases is key to the
development of reliable and robust predictive models potentially leading to efficient and …

Scrutinizing the heterogeneous spreading of COVID-19 outbreak in large territorial countries

RM da Silva, CFO Mendes, C Manchein - Physical biology, 2021 - iopscience.iop.org
After the spread of COVID-19 out of China, the evolution of the pandemic has shown
remarkable similarities and differences between countries around the world. Eventually …

[HTML][HTML] Modeling and forecasting the COVID-19 pandemic with heterogeneous autoregression approaches: South Korea

E Hwang, SM Yu - Results in Physics, 2021 - Elsevier
This paper deals with time series analysis for COVID-19 in South Korea. We adopt
heterogeneous autoregressive (HAR) time series models and discuss the statistical …

Complexity signatures in the COVID-19 epidemic: power-law behaviour in the saturation regime of fatality curves

GL Vasconcelos, AMS Macêdo, GC Duarte-Filho… - medRxiv, 2020 - medrxiv.org
We apply a versatile growth model, whose growth rate is given by a generalised beta
distribution, to describe the complex behaviour of the fatality curves of the COVID-19 …

[HTML][HTML] Universal epidemic curve for covid-19 and its usage for forecasting

A Sharma, S Sapkal, MK Verma - … of the Indian National Academy of …, 2021 - Springer
We construct a universal epidemic curve for COVID-19 using the epidemic curves of eight
nations that have reached saturation for the first phase and then fit an eight-degree …

Mechanisms to decrease the diseases spreading on generalized scale-free networks

M Galiceanu, CFO Mendes, CM Maciel… - … Journal of Nonlinear …, 2021 - pubs.aip.org
In this work, an epidemiological model is constructed based on a target problem that
consists of a chemical reaction on a lattice. We choose the generalized scale-free network to …

[HTML][HTML] Emergence of universality in the transmission dynamics of COVID-19

A Paul, JK Bhattacharjee, A Pal, S Chakraborty - Scientific reports, 2021 - nature.com
The complexities involved in modelling the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 has been a
roadblock in achieving predictability in the spread and containment of the disease. In …

Are Stay-at-Home and Face Mask Orders Effective in Slowing Down COVID-19 Transmission?–A Statistical Study of US Case Counts in 2020

P Wang, H Le - Asia-Pacific Journal of Risk and Insurance, 2023 - degruyter.com
Whether the stay-at-home order and face mask mandate are effective in slowing down the
COVID-19 virus transmission is up for debate. To investigate this matter, we employ a …