The use and misuse of mathematical modeling for infectious disease policymaking: lessons for the COVID-19 pandemic
LP James, JA Salomon, CO Buckee… - Medical Decision …, 2021 - journals.sagepub.com
Mathematical modeling has played a prominent and necessary role in the current
coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, with an increasing number of models …
coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, with an increasing number of models …
Genomics and epidemiology of the P. 1 SARS-CoV-2 lineage in Manaus, Brazil
Cases of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection in
Manaus, Brazil, resurged in late 2020 despite previously high levels of infection. Genome …
Manaus, Brazil, resurged in late 2020 despite previously high levels of infection. Genome …
Progress and challenges in infectious disease cartography
Quantitatively mapping the spatial distributions of infectious diseases is key to both
investigating their epidemiology and identifying populations at risk of infection. Important …
investigating their epidemiology and identifying populations at risk of infection. Important …
Real-time forecasting of epidemic trajectories using computational dynamic ensembles
Forecasting the trajectory of social dynamic processes, such as the spread of infectious
diseases, poses significant challenges that call for methods that account for data and model …
diseases, poses significant challenges that call for methods that account for data and model …
An ensemble n-sub-epidemic modeling framework for short-term forecasting epidemic trajectories: Application to the COVID-19 pandemic in the USA
We analyze an ensemble of n-sub-epidemic modeling for forecasting the trajectory of
epidemics and pandemics. These ensemble modeling approaches, and models that …
epidemics and pandemics. These ensemble modeling approaches, and models that …
Defining the relationship between infection prevalence and clinical incidence of Plasmodium falciparum malaria
In many countries health system data remain too weak to accurately enumerate Plasmodium
falciparum malaria cases. In response, cartographic approaches have been developed that …
falciparum malaria cases. In response, cartographic approaches have been developed that …
A surveillance of food borne disease outbreaks in India: 2009–2018
A Bisht, MP Kamble, P Choudhary, K Chaturvedi… - Food Control, 2021 - Elsevier
Abstract Knowledge about distribution of food-borne outbreaks and implicated food-vehicles
helps in mitigating the risk of food-borne diseases and is critical for designing strategies to …
helps in mitigating the risk of food-borne diseases and is critical for designing strategies to …
[HTML][HTML] Decision-making for foot-and-mouth disease control: objectives matter
Formal decision-analytic methods can be used to frame disease control problems, the first
step of which is to define a clear and specific objective. We demonstrate the imperative of …
step of which is to define a clear and specific objective. We demonstrate the imperative of …
Trade-offs between individual and ensemble forecasts of an emerging infectious disease
Probabilistic forecasts play an indispensable role in answering questions about the spread
of newly emerged pathogens. However, uncertainties about the epidemiology of emerging …
of newly emerged pathogens. However, uncertainties about the epidemiology of emerging …
Systematic selection between age and household structure for models aimed at emerging epidemic predictions
Numerous epidemic models have been developed to capture aspects of human contact
patterns, making model selection challenging when they fit (often-scarce) early epidemic …
patterns, making model selection challenging when they fit (often-scarce) early epidemic …