Jointly Estimating Subnational Mortality for Multiple Populations

A Dharamshi, M Alexander, C Winant… - arXiv preprint arXiv …, 2023 - arxiv.org
Understanding patterns in mortality across subpopulations is essential for local health policy
decision making. One of the key challenges of subnational mortality rate estimation is the …

Modeling and forecasting subnational mortality in the presence of aggregated data

JF Bégin, B Sanders, X Xu - North American Actuarial Journal, 2023 - Taylor & Francis
This study proposes a new approach to modeling subnational mortality that relies on
individual features (eg, sex, geographical region, socioeconomic status) instead of dealing …

Decomposition of the US black/white inequality in premature mortality, 2010–2015: an observational study

MV Kiang, N Krieger, CO Buckee, JP Onnela… - BMJ open, 2019 - bmjopen.bmj.com
Objective Decompose the US black/white inequality in premature mortality into shared and
group-specific risks to better inform health policy. Setting All 50 US states and the District of …

A flexible Bayesian model for estimating subnational mortality

M Alexander, E Zagheni, M Barbieri - Demography, 2017 - read.dukeupress.edu
Reliable subnational mortality estimates are essential in the study of health inequalities
within a country. One of the difficulties in producing such estimates is the presence of small …

[HTML][HTML] Subnational mortality modelling: A Bayesian hierarchical model with common factors

Q Lu, K Hanewald, X Wang - Risks, 2021 - mdpi.com
We propose a new model in a Bayesian hierarchical framework to project mortality at both
national and subnational levels based on sparse or missing data. The new model, which …

[HTML][HTML] Comparing denominator sources for real-time disease incidence modeling: American Community Survey and WorldPop

RC Nethery, T Rushovich, E Peterson, JT Chen… - SSM-Population …, 2021 - Elsevier
Abstract Across the United States public health community in 2020, in the midst of a
pandemic and increased concern regarding racial/ethnic health disparities, there is …

Spatially varying age–period–cohort analysis with application to US mortality, 2002–2016

P Chernyavskiy, MP Little, PS Rosenberg - Biostatistics, 2020 - academic.oup.com
Many public health databases index disease counts by age groups and calendar periods
within geographic regions (eg, states, districts, or counties). Issues around relative risk …

Evaluation of small-area estimation methods for mortality schedules

E Denecke, P Grigoriev, R Rau - arXiv preprint arXiv:2302.01693, 2023 - arxiv.org
Mortality patterns at a subnational level or across subpopulations are often used to examine
the health of a population. In small populations, however, death counts are erratic. To deal …

Small area forecasts of cause-specific mortality: application of a Bayesian hierarchical model to US vital registration data

KJ Foreman, G Li, N Best… - Journal of the Royal …, 2017 - academic.oup.com
Mortality forecasts are typically limited in that they pertain only to national death rates,
predict only all-cause mortality or do not capture and utilize the correlation between …

A Bayesian cohort component projection model to estimate adult populations at the subnational level in data-sparse settings

M Alexander, L Alkema - arXiv preprint arXiv:2102.06121, 2021 - arxiv.org
Accurate estimates of subnational populations are important for policy formulation and
monitoring population health indicators. For example, estimates of the number of women of …