The area under the precision‐recall curve as a performance metric for rare binary events

HR Sofaer, JA Hoeting… - Methods in Ecology and …, 2019 - Wiley Online Library
Species distribution models are used to study biogeographic patterns and guide decision‐
making. The variable quality of these models makes it critical to assess whether a model's …

The effects of small sample size and sample bias on threshold selection and accuracy assessment of species distribution models

WT Bean, R Stafford, JS Brashares - Ecography, 2012 - Wiley Online Library
Species distribution models are used for a range of ecological and evolutionary questions,
but often are constructed from few and/or biased species occurrence records. Recent work …

Prevalence, thresholds and the performance of presence–absence models

CR Lawson, JA Hodgson, RJ Wilson… - Methods in Ecology …, 2014 - Wiley Online Library
The use of species distribution models to understand and predict species' distributions
necessitates tests of fit to empirical data. Numerous performance metrics have been …

Selecting pseudo‐absences for species distribution models: How, where and how many?

M Barbet‐Massin, F Jiguet, CH Albert… - Methods in ecology …, 2012 - Wiley Online Library
Species distribution models are increasingly used to address questions in conservation
biology, ecology and evolution. The most effective species distribution models require data …

Selecting pseudo-absence data for presence-only distribution modeling: how far should you stray from what you know?

J VanDerWal, LP Shoo, C Graham, SE Williams - Ecological modelling, 2009 - Elsevier
An important decision in presence-only species distribution modeling is how to select
background (or pseudo-absence) localities for model parameterization. The selection of …

Effects of sample size on the performance of species distribution models

MS Wisz, RJ Hijmans, J Li, AT Peterson… - Diversity and …, 2008 - Wiley Online Library
ABSTRACT A wide range of modelling algorithms is used by ecologists, conservation
practitioners, and others to predict species ranges from point locality data. Unfortunately, the …

Evaluating presence‐only species distribution models with discrimination accuracy is uninformative for many applications

DL Warren, NJ Matzke, TL Iglesias - Journal of Biogeography, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
Aim Species distribution models are used across evolution, ecology, conservation and
epidemiology to make critical decisions and study biological phenomena, often in cases …

POC plots: calibrating species distribution models with presence‐only data

SJ Phillips, J Elith - Ecology, 2010 - Wiley Online Library
Statistical models are widely used for predicting species' geographic distributions and for
analyzing species' responses to climatic and other predictor variables. Their predictive …

Presence-only species distribution models are sensitive to sample prevalence: Evaluating models using spatial prediction stability and accuracy metrics

L Grimmett, R Whitsed, A Horta - Ecological Modelling, 2020 - Elsevier
Species distribution modelling (SDM) is an important tool for ecologists, but different
algorithms and different sampling strategies produce different results. Using virtual species …

Improving the precision of estimates of the frequency of rare events

PM Dixon, AM Ellison, NJ Gotelli - Ecology, 2005 - Wiley Online Library
The probability of a rare event is usually estimated directly as the number of times the event
occurs divided by the total sample size. Unfortunately, the precision of this estimate is low …