Climate services for health: predicting the evolution of the 2016 dengue season in Machala, Ecuador

R Lowe, AM Stewart-Ibarra, D Petrova… - The lancet Planetary …, 2017 - thelancet.com
Summary Background El Niño and its effect on local meteorological conditions potentially
influences interannual variability in dengue transmission in southern coastal Ecuador. El …

The effect of weather and climate on dengue outbreak risk in Peru, 2000-2018: A time-series analysis

T Dostal, J Meisner, C Munayco, PJ García… - PLoS neglected …, 2022 - journals.plos.org
Background Dengue fever is the most common arboviral disease in humans, with an
estimated 50-100 million annual infections worldwide. Dengue fever cases have increased …

Nonlinear and delayed impacts of climate on dengue risk in Barbados: A modelling study

R Lowe, A Gasparrini, CJ Van Meerbeeck… - PLoS …, 2018 - journals.plos.org
Background Over the last 5 years (2013–2017), the Caribbean region has faced an
unprecedented crisis of co-occurring epidemics of febrile illness due to arboviruses …

Seasonal patterns of dengue fever in rural Ecuador: 2009-2016

R Sippy, D Herrera, D Gaus, RE Gangnon… - PLoS neglected …, 2019 - journals.plos.org
Season is a major determinant of infectious disease rates, including arboviruses spread by
mosquitoes, such as dengue, chikungunya, and Zika. Seasonal patterns of disease are …

The effects of weather and climate change on dengue

FJ Colón-González, C Fezzi, IR Lake… - PLoS neglected tropical …, 2013 - journals.plos.org
Background There is much uncertainty about the future impact of climate change on vector-
borne diseases. Such uncertainty reflects the difficulties in modelling the complex …

Evaluating the performance of infectious disease forecasts: A comparison of climate-driven and seasonal dengue forecasts for Mexico

MA Johansson, NG Reich, A Hota, JS Brownstein… - Scientific reports, 2016 - nature.com
Dengue viruses, which infect millions of people per year worldwide, cause large epidemics
that strain healthcare systems. Despite diverse efforts to develop forecasting tools including …

[HTML][HTML] Climate and non-climate drivers of dengue epidemics in southern coastal Ecuador

AM Stewart-Ibarra, R Lowe - The American journal of tropical …, 2013 - ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
We report a statistical mixed model for assessing the importance of climate and non-climate
drivers of interannual variability in dengue fever in southern coastal Ecuador. Local climate …

Spatiotemporal clustering, climate periodicity, and social-ecological risk factors for dengue during an outbreak in Machala, Ecuador, in 2010

AM Stewart-Ibarra, ÁG Muñoz, SJ Ryan, EB Ayala… - BMC infectious …, 2014 - Springer
Background Dengue fever, a mosquito-borne viral disease, is a rapidly emerging public
health problem in Ecuador and throughout the tropics. However, we have a limited …

Projecting the future of dengue under climate change scenarios: Progress, uncertainties and research needs

Z Xu, H Bambrick, FD Frentiu, G Devine… - PLoS neglected …, 2020 - journals.plos.org
Background Dengue is a mosquito-borne viral disease and its transmission is closely linked
to climate. We aimed to review available information on the projection of dengue in the …

Dengue outlook for the World Cup in Brazil: an early warning model framework driven by real-time seasonal climate forecasts

R Lowe, C Barcellos, CAS Coelho… - The Lancet infectious …, 2014 - thelancet.com
Background With more than a million spectators expected to travel among 12 different cities
in Brazil during the football World Cup, June 12–July 13, 2014, the risk of the mosquito …