[HTML][HTML] ESD reviews: Model dependence in multi-model climate ensembles: Weighting, sub-selection and out-of-sample testing

G Abramowitz, N Herger, E Gutmann… - Earth System …, 2019 - esd.copernicus.org
The rationale for using multi-model ensembles in climate change projections and impacts
research is often based on the expectation that different models constitute independent …

The Coupled Model Intercomparison Project: History, uses, and structural effects on climate research

L Touzé‐Peiffer, A Barberousse… - Wiley Interdisciplinary …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
The results of the sixth phase of the coupled model intercomparison project (CMIP) are
currently being analyzed and will form the basis of the IPCC Sixth Assessment Report. Since …

[HTML][HTML] Selecting a climate model subset to optimise key ensemble properties

N Herger, G Abramowitz, R Knutti… - Earth System …, 2018 - esd.copernicus.org
End users studying impacts and risks caused by human-induced climate change are often
presented with large multi-model ensembles of climate projections whose composition and …

On the interpretation of constrained climate model ensembles

BM Sanderson, R Knutti - Geophysical Research Letters, 2012 - Wiley Online Library
An ensemble of models can be interpreted in two ways. The first treats each model as an
approximation of the true system with some random error. Alternatively, the true system can …

Climate model dependence and the replicate Earth paradigm

CH Bishop, G Abramowitz - Climate dynamics, 2013 - Springer
Multi-model ensembles are commonly used in climate prediction to create a set of
independent estimates, and so better gauge the likelihood of particular outcomes and better …

Interdependency in multimodel climate projections: Component replication and result similarity

J Boé - Geophysical Research Letters, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
Multimodel ensembles are the main way to deal with model uncertainties in climate
projections. However, the interdependencies between models that often share entire …

[HTML][HTML] Climate model dependence and the ensemble dependence transformation of CMIP projections

G Abramowitz, CH Bishop - Journal of Climate, 2015 - journals.ametsoc.org
Obtaining multiple estimates of future climate for a given emissions scenario is key to
understanding the likelihood and uncertainty associated with climate-related impacts. This is …

[HTML][HTML] Challenges in combining projections from multiple climate models

R Knutti, R Furrer, C Tebaldi, J Cermak… - Journal of …, 2010 - journals.ametsoc.org
Recent coordinated efforts, in which numerous general circulation climate models have
been run for a common set of experiments, have produced large datasets of projections of …

The use of the multi-model ensemble in probabilistic climate projections

C Tebaldi, R Knutti - … transactions of the royal society A …, 2007 - royalsocietypublishing.org
Recent coordinated efforts, in which numerous climate models have been run for a common
set of experiments, have produced large datasets of projections of future climate for various …

[HTML][HTML] Climate model Selection by Independence, Performance, and Spread (ClimSIPS v1. 0.1) for regional applications

AL Merrifield, L Brunner, R Lorenz… - Geoscientific Model …, 2023 - gmd.copernicus.org
As the number of models in Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP) archives
increase from generation to generation, there is a pressing need for guidance on how to …