Policy-and decision-makers in government and industry constantly face important decisions
without full knowledge of all the facts. They rely routinely on expert advice to fill critical …

Good policy making should be based on available scientific knowledge. Sometimes this
knowledge is well established through research, but often scientists must simply express …

Experts, despite their importance and value, can be double-edged swords. They can make
valuable contributions from their deep base of knowledge, but those contributions may also …

Why is it that experts so often seem to disagree? Although decision researchers often view
such disagreements as a reason to mistrust experts, this chapter argues instead that such …

Expert judgement is pervasive in all forms of risk analysis, yet the development of tools to
deal with such judgements in a repeatable and transparent fashion is relatively recent. This …

The success of public health responses to the COVID-19 pandemic is sensitive to public
trust in experts. Despite a great deal of attention to attitudes towards experts in the context of …

If research in psychology had a Dr. Jekyll and Mr. Hyde Award, it would go to—drum roll,
please—the group as a decision-making instrument. Since the late 19th century, the group …

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The elicitation of scientific and technical judgments from experts, in the form of subjective
probability distributions, can be a valuable addition to other forms of evidence in support of …

As the world of human affairs becomes increasingly more complex, our reliance upon expert
judgment grows correspondingly. Technological, economic, legal, and political …