Why we need weather forecast analogues for marine ecosystems

JS Link, S Thur, G Matlock… - ICES Journal of Marine …, 2023 - academic.oup.com
Marine ecosystems face many consequential pressures. Yet, we lack an integrative and
predictive capacity to understand how marine ecosystems will respond to the cumulative …

Seasonal-to-decadal prediction of marine ecosystems: opportunities, approaches, and applications

MR Payne, AJ Hobday, BR MacKenzie… - Frontiers in Marine …, 2019 - frontiersin.org
A quiet revolution is taking place in marine science. Like a caterpillar entering its chrysalis,
marine biology is metamorphosing into something new. Leaving its empirical origins behind …

Decadal-scale forecasting of climate drivers for marine applications

J Salinger, AJ Hobday, RJ Matear, TJ O'Kane… - Advances in Marine …, 2016 - Elsevier
Climate influences marine ecosystems on a range of time scales, from weather-scale (days)
through to climate-scale (hundreds of years). Understanding of interannual to decadal …

Observational needs supporting marine ecosystems modeling and forecasting: from the global ocean to regional and coastal systems

A Capotondi, M Jacox, C Bowler… - Frontiers in Marine …, 2019 - frontiersin.org
Many coastal areas host rich marine ecosystems and are also centers of economic activities,
including fishing, shipping and recreation. Due to the socioeconomic and ecological …

Ecological forecasting: New tools for coastal and marine ecosystem management

NJ Valette-Silver, D Scavia - 2003 - repository.library.noaa.gov
Policy makers, natural resource managers, regulators, and the public often call on scientists
to estimate the potential ecological changes caused by both natural and human-induced …

Toward regional marine ecological forecasting using global climate model predictions from subseasonal to decadal timescales: Bottlenecks and recommendations

S Minobe, A Capotondi, MG Jacox… - Frontiers in Marine …, 2022 - frontiersin.org
This perspective paper discusses how the research community can promote enhancement
of marine ecosystem forecasts using physical ocean conditions predicted by global climate …

Lessons from the first generation of marine ecological forecast products

MR Payne, AJ Hobday, BR MacKenzie… - Frontiers in Marine …, 2017 - frontiersin.org
Recent years have seen a rapid expansion in the ability of earth system models to describe
and predict the physical state of the ocean. Skilful forecasts ranging from seasonal (3 …

Advancing marine biogeochemical and ecosystem reanalyses and forecasts as tools for monitoring and managing ecosystem health

K Fennel, M Gehlen, P Brasseur, CW Brown… - Frontiers in Marine …, 2019 - frontiersin.org
Ocean ecosystems are subject to a multitude of stressors, including changes in ocean
physics and biogeochemistry, and direct anthropogenic influences. Implementation of …

[PDF][PDF] Oceans and Marine Resources in a Changing Climate

R Griffis, J Howard - A Technical Input to the, 2013 - academia.edu
The US is an ocean nation—our past, present and future are inextricably connected to and
dependent on oceans and marine resources. Marine ecosystems of the US support an …

Seasonal-to-interannual prediction of North American coastal marine ecosystems: Forecast methods, mechanisms of predictability, and priority developments

MG Jacox, MA Alexander, S Siedlecki, K Chen… - Progress in …, 2020 - Elsevier
Marine ecosystem forecasting is an area of active research and rapid development. Promise
has been shown for skillful prediction of physical, biogeochemical, and ecological variables …