On the predictability of the extreme drought in East Africa during the short rains season
Abstract Many parts of East Africa experienced extremely dry conditions during the short
rains season of October–December 2021. It was predicted a few months before by the …
rains season of October–December 2021. It was predicted a few months before by the …
Understanding the Central Equatorial African long-term drought using AMIP-type simulations
Previous studies show that Indo-Pacific sea surface temperature (SST) variations may help
to explain the observed long-term drought during April–May–June (AMJ) since the 1990s …
to explain the observed long-term drought during April–May–June (AMJ) since the 1990s …
Examining the role of unusually warm Indo‐Pacific sea‐surface temperatures in recent African droughts
Southern Africa (SA) and eastern Africa (EA) experienced a sequence of severe droughts in
December–February (SA DJF) 2015–2016, October–December (EA OND) 2016 and March …
December–February (SA DJF) 2015–2016, October–December (EA OND) 2016 and March …
Assessment of prediction and predictability of short rains over equatorial East Africa using a multi-model ensemble
In this study, the performance of dynamical seasonal forecast systems is evaluated for the
prediction of short rain anomalies over equatorial East Africa. The evaluation is based on …
prediction of short rain anomalies over equatorial East Africa. The evaluation is based on …
Drivers of subseasonal forecast errors of the East African short rains
EW Kolstad, D Macleod… - Geophysical Research …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
The 'short rains' in East Africa from October to December have significant year‐to‐year
variability. Their abundance or deficiency is often associated with floods or droughts for …
variability. Their abundance or deficiency is often associated with floods or droughts for …
Potential predictability of the sea‐surface temperature forced equatorial East African short rains interannual variability in the 20th century
TK Bahaga, G Mengistu Tsidu… - Quarterly Journal of …, 2015 - Wiley Online Library
In this article, the predictability of the 20th century sea‐surface temperature (SST) forced
East African short rains variability is analyzed using observational data and ensembles of …
East African short rains variability is analyzed using observational data and ensembles of …
Predicting the seasonal evolution of southern African summer precipitation in the DePreSys3 prediction system
We assess the ability of the DePreSys3 prediction system to predict austral summer
precipitation (DJF) over southern Africa, defined as the African continent south of 15° S …
precipitation (DJF) over southern Africa, defined as the African continent south of 15° S …
Projected changes in meteorological drought over East Africa inferred from bias-adjusted CMIP6 models
The ongoing global warming has caused unprecedented changes in the climate system,
leading to an increase in the intensity and frequency of weather and climate extremes. This …
leading to an increase in the intensity and frequency of weather and climate extremes. This …
Indo-Pacific sea surface temperature influences on failed consecutive rainy seasons over eastern Africa
Rainfall over eastern Africa (10° S–10° N; 35° E–50° E) is bimodal, with seasonal maxima
during the" long rains" of March–April–May (MAM) and the" short rains" of October …
during the" long rains" of March–April–May (MAM) and the" short rains" of October …
Extreme wet years over southern Africa: Role of Indian Ocean sea surface temperatures
R Washington, A Preston - Journal of Geophysical Research …, 2006 - Wiley Online Library
Southern Africa is a predominantly semiarid region with a high degree of interannual rainfall
variability. Although much of the recent climate research has focused on the causes of …
variability. Although much of the recent climate research has focused on the causes of …