[HTML][HTML] Projected early spread of COVID-19 in Africa through 1 June 2020
CAB Pearson, C Van Schalkwyk, AM Foss… - …, 2020 - eurosurveillance.org
For 45 African countries/territories already reporting COVID-19 cases before 23 March 2020,
we estimate the dates of reporting 1,000 and 10,000 cases. Assuming early epidemic trends …
we estimate the dates of reporting 1,000 and 10,000 cases. Assuming early epidemic trends …
[HTML][HTML] Estimating number of cases and spread of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) using critical care admissions, United Kingdom, February to March 2020
An exponential growth model was fitted to critical care admissions from two surveillance
databases to determine likely coronavirus disease (COVID-19) case numbers, critical care …
databases to determine likely coronavirus disease (COVID-19) case numbers, critical care …
[HTML][HTML] Potential short-term outcome of an uncontrolled COVID-19 epidemic in Lombardy, Italy, February to March 2020
Sustained coronavirus disease (COVID-19) transmission is ongoing in Italy, with 7,375
reported cases and 366 deaths by 8 March 2020. We provide a model-based evaluation of …
reported cases and 366 deaths by 8 March 2020. We provide a model-based evaluation of …
Breakthrough SARS-CoV-2 infections during periods of delta and omicron predominance, South Africa
The omicron variant of SARS-CoV-2 (B. 1.1. 529) was first detected in South Africa in
November, 2021. 1–3 Declared a variant of concern on Nov 26, 2021, 4 omicron spread …
November, 2021. 1–3 Declared a variant of concern on Nov 26, 2021, 4 omicron spread …
[HTML][HTML] Limiting the spread of COVID-19 in Africa: one size mitigation strategies do not fit all countries
S Mehtar, W Preiser, NA Lakhe, A Bousso… - The Lancet Global …, 2020 - thelancet.com
On March 11, 2020, when coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), caused by severe acute
respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), was declared a pandemic by WHO …
respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), was declared a pandemic by WHO …
[HTML][HTML] Fast spread of COVID-19 in Europe and the US suggests the necessity of early, strong and comprehensive interventions
The COVID-19 pandemic caused more than 800,000 infections and 40,000 deaths by the
end of March 2020. However, some of the basic epidemiological parameters, such as the …
end of March 2020. However, some of the basic epidemiological parameters, such as the …
[HTML][HTML] Potential scenarios for the progression of a COVID-19 epidemic in the European Union and the European Economic Area, March 2020
HC Johnson, CM Gossner, E Colzani… - …, 2020 - eurosurveillance.org
Two months after the emergence of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-
CoV-2), the possibility of established and widespread community transmission in the …
CoV-2), the possibility of established and widespread community transmission in the …
[HTML][HTML] Epidemiological characteristics of the first 53 laboratory-confirmed cases of COVID-19 epidemic in Hong Kong, 13 February 2020
Background COVID-19, caused by SARS-CoV-2, first appeared in China and subsequently
developed into an ongoing epidemic. Understanding epidemiological factors characterising …
developed into an ongoing epidemic. Understanding epidemiological factors characterising …
[HTML][HTML] Unexposed populations and potential COVID-19 hospitalisations and deaths in European countries as per data up to 21 November 2021
We estimate the potential remaining COVID-19 hospitalisation and death burdens in 19
European countries by estimating the proportion of each country's population that has …
European countries by estimating the proportion of each country's population that has …
[HTML][HTML] COVID-19 in the 47 countries of the WHO African region: a modelling analysis of past trends and future patterns
JW Cabore, HC Karamagi, HK Kipruto… - The lancet global …, 2022 - thelancet.com
Background COVID-19 has affected the African region in many ways. We aimed to generate
robust information on the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 in this region since the …
robust information on the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 in this region since the …