Humans do not have an accurate representation of probability information in the
environment but distort it in a surprisingly stereotyped way (“probability distortion”), as …

How does the brain represent the reliability of its sensory evidence? Here, we test whether
sensory uncertainty is encoded in cortical population activity as the width of a probability …

In decision from experience, the source of probability information affects how probability is
distorted in the decision task. Understanding how and why probability is distorted is a key …

Background Uncertainty shapes our perception of the world and the decisions we make.
Two aspects of uncertainty are commonly distinguished: uncertainty in previously acquired …

Base rate neglect, an important bias in estimating probability of uncertain events, describes
humans' tendency to underweight base rate (prior) relative to individuating information …

Humans combine incoming sensory and past information to deal with ambiguous and
uncertain information (eg, Knill and Saunders, 2003). But what constitutes past information …

We constantly look for patterns in the environment that allow us to learn its key regularities.
These regularities are fundamental in enabling us to make predictions about what is likely to …

When facing uncertainty, adaptive behavioral strategies demand that the brain performs
probabilistic computations. In this probabilistic framework, the notion of certainty and …

According to traditional views, perception deals with uncertainty using optimal strategies. For
instance, when prior stimuli are more reliable than current ones, perception tends to give …

Bayesian theories of neural coding propose that sensory uncertainty is represented by a
probability distribution encoded in neural population activity, but direct neural evidence …