Ensemble forecast and parameter inference of childhood diarrhea in Chobe District, Botswana

AK Heaney, KA Alexander, J Shaman - Epidemics, 2020 - Elsevier
Diarrheal disease is the second largest cause of mortality in children younger than 5, yet our
ability to anticipate and prepare for outbreaks remains limited. Here, we develop and test an …

[HTML][HTML] Assessment of Model Estimated and Directly Observed Weather Data for Etiological Prediction of Diarrhea

BJ Brintz, JM Colston, SM Ahmed, DL Chao… - medRxiv, 2023 - ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
Recent advances in clinical prediction for diarrheal etiology in low-and middle-income
countries have revealed that addition of weather data improves predictive performance …

Real-time epidemic forecasting: challenges and opportunities

AN Desai, MUG Kraemer, S Bhatia, A Cori… - Health …, 2019 - liebertpub.com
Infectious disease outbreaks play an important role in global morbidity and mortality. Real-
time epidemic forecasting provides an opportunity to predict geographic disease spread as …

Forecasting incidence of infectious diarrhea using random forest in Jiangsu Province, China

X Fang, W Liu, J Ai, M He, Y Wu, Y Shi, W Shen… - BMC infectious …, 2020 - Springer
Background Infectious diarrhea can lead to a considerable global disease burden. Thus, the
accurate prediction of an infectious diarrhea epidemic is crucial for public health authorities …

A comparison of infectious disease forecasting methods across locations, diseases, and time

S Dixon, R Keshavamurthy, DH Farber, A Stevens… - Pathogens, 2022 - mdpi.com
Accurate infectious disease forecasting can inform efforts to prevent outbreaks and mitigate
adverse impacts. This study compares the performance of statistical, machine learning (ML) …

Predictive modeling for infectious diarrheal disease in pediatric populations: A systematic review

B Ogwel, V Mzazi, BO Nyawanda… - Learning Health …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
Introduction Diarrhea is still a significant global public health problem. There are currently no
systematic evaluation of the modeling areas and approaches to predict diarrheal illness …

Challenges in real-time prediction of infectious disease: a case study of dengue in Thailand

NG Reich, SA Lauer, K Sakrejda… - PLoS neglected …, 2016 - journals.plos.org
Epidemics of communicable diseases place a huge burden on public health infrastructures
across the world. Producing accurate and actionable forecasts of infectious disease …

[HTML][HTML] The RAPIDD ebola forecasting challenge: Synthesis and lessons learnt

C Viboud, K Sun, R Gaffey, M Ajelli, L Fumanelli… - Epidemics, 2018 - Elsevier
Infectious disease forecasting is gaining traction in the public health community; however,
limited systematic comparisons of model performance exist. Here we present the results of a …

Spatiotemporal patterns of diarrhea incidence in Ghana and the impact of meteorological and socio-demographic factors

EO Asare, JL Warren, VE Pitzer - Frontiers in epidemiology, 2022 - frontiersin.org
Background Diarrhea remains a significant public health problem and poses a considerable
financial burden on Ghana's health insurance scheme. In order to prioritize district-level …

[HTML][HTML] The impact of environmental and climatic variation on the spatiotemporal trends of hospitalized pediatric diarrhea in Ho Chi Minh City, Vietnam

CN Thompson, JL Zelner, TDH Nhu, MVT Phan, PH Le… - Health & place, 2015 - Elsevier
It is predicted that the integration of climate-based early warning systems into existing action
plans will facilitate the timely provision of interventions to diarrheal disease epidemics in …