[HTML][HTML] Characterizing the dynamics underlying global spread of epidemics

L Wang, JT Wu - Nature communications, 2018 - nature.com
Over the past few decades, global metapopulation epidemic simulations built with worldwide
air-transportation data have been the main tool for studying how epidemics spread from the …

[HTML][HTML] Evolution of scaling emergence in large-scale spatial epidemic spreading

L Wang, X Li, YQ Zhang, Y Zhang, K Zhang - PloS one, 2011 - journals.plos.org
Background Zipf's law and Heaps' law are two representatives of the scaling concepts,
which play a significant role in the study of complexity science. The coexistence of the Zipf's …

[HTML][HTML] Untangling the interplay between epidemic spread and transmission network dynamics

C Kamp - PLoS Computational Biology, 2010 - journals.plos.org
The epidemic spread of infectious diseases is ubiquitous and often has a considerable
impact on public health and economic wealth. The large variability in the spatio-temporal …

[HTML][HTML] Comparing large-scale computational approaches to epidemic modeling: agent-based versus structured metapopulation models

M Ajelli, B Gonçalves, D Balcan, V Colizza, H Hu… - BMC infectious …, 2010 - Springer
Background In recent years large-scale computational models for the realistic simulation of
epidemic outbreaks have been used with increased frequency. Methodologies adapt to the …

[HTML][HTML] Real-time numerical forecast of global epidemic spreading: case study of 2009 A/H1N1pdm

M Tizzoni, P Bajardi, C Poletto, JJ Ramasco, D Balcan… - BMC medicine, 2012 - Springer
Background Mathematical and computational models for infectious diseases are
increasingly used to support public-health decisions; however, their reliability is currently …

[HTML][HTML] Assessing the international spreading risk associated with the 2014 West African Ebola outbreak

MFC Gomes, AP y Piontti, L Rossi, D Chao… - PLoS …, 2014 - ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
Background: The 2014 West African Ebola Outbreak is so far the largest and deadliest
recorded in history. The affected countries, Sierra Leone, Guinea, Liberia, and Nigeria, have …

[HTML][HTML] On the use of human mobility proxies for modeling epidemics

M Tizzoni, P Bajardi, A Decuyper… - PLoS computational …, 2014 - journals.plos.org
Human mobility is a key component of large-scale spatial-transmission models of infectious
diseases. Correctly modeling and quantifying human mobility is critical for improving …

Mathematical models to characterize early epidemic growth: A review

G Chowell, L Sattenspiel, S Bansal, C Viboud - Physics of life reviews, 2016 - Elsevier
There is a long tradition of using mathematical models to generate insights into the
transmission dynamics of infectious diseases and assess the potential impact of different …

[HTML][HTML] Utilizing general human movement models to predict the spread of emerging infectious diseases in resource poor settings

MUG Kraemer, N Golding, D Bisanzio, S Bhatt… - Scientific reports, 2019 - nature.com
Human mobility is an important driver of geographic spread of infectious pathogens.
Detailed information about human movements during outbreaks are, however, difficult to …

[HTML][HTML] A metric of influential spreading during contagion dynamics through the air transportation network

C Nicolaides, L Cueto-Felgueroso, MC González… - PloS one, 2012 - journals.plos.org
The spread of infectious diseases at the global scale is mediated by long-range human
travel. Our ability to predict the impact of an outbreak on human health requires …