Estimating SARS-CoV-2 variant fitness and the impact of interventions in England using statistical and geo-spatial agent-based models

R Hinch, J Panovska-Griffiths… - … of the Royal …, 2022 - royalsocietypublishing.org
The SARS-CoV-2 epidemic has been extended by the evolution of more transmissible viral
variants. In autumn 2020, the B. 1.177 lineage became the dominant variant in England …

Statistical and agent-based modelling of the transmissibility of different SARS-CoV-2 variants in England and impact of different interventions

J Panovska-Griffiths, B Swallow… - … of the Royal …, 2022 - royalsocietypublishing.org
The English SARS-CoV-2 epidemic has been affected by the emergence of new viral
variants such as B. 1.177, Alpha and Delta, and changing restrictions. We used statistical …

Risk of sustained SARS-CoV-2 transmission in Queensland, Australia

P Sanz-Leon, NJ Stevenson, RM Stuart… - Scientific Reports, 2022 - nature.com
We used an agent-based model Covasim to assess the risk of sustained community
transmission of SARSCoV-2/COVID-19 in Queensland (Australia) in the presence of high …

Trajectory of individual immunity and vaccination required for SARS-CoV-2 community immunity: a conceptual investigation

CM Saad-Roy, SA Levin… - Journal of The …, 2021 - royalsocietypublishing.org
SARS-CoV-2 is an international public health emergency; high transmissibility and morbidity
and mortality can result in the virus overwhelming health systems. Combinations of social …

The importance of the generation interval in investigating dynamics and control of new SARS-CoV-2 variants

SW Park, BM Bolker, S Funk… - Journal of The …, 2022 - royalsocietypublishing.org
Inferring the relative strength (ie the ratio of reproduction numbers) and relative speed (ie the
difference between growth rates) of new SARS-CoV-2 variants is critical to predicting and …

Modelling the interplay of SARS-CoV-2 variants in the United Kingdom

NL Barreiro, T Govezensky, CI Ventura, M Nuñez… - Scientific Reports, 2022 - nature.com
Many COVID-19 vaccines are proving to be highly effective to prevent severe disease and to
diminish infections. Their uneven geographical distribution favors the appearance of new …

[HTML][HTML] Nowcasting transmission and suppression of the Delta variant of SARS-CoV-2 in Australia

SL Chang, OM Cliff, C Zachreson, M Prokopenko - 2021 - europepmc.org
An outbreak of the Delta (B. 1.617. 2) variant of SARS-CoV-2 that began around mid-June
2021 in Sydney, Australia, quickly developed into a nation-wide epidemic. The ongoing …

Simulating transmission scenarios of the delta variant of SARS-CoV-2 in Australia

SL Chang, OM Cliff, C Zachreson… - Frontiers in Public …, 2022 - frontiersin.org
An outbreak of the Delta (B. 1.617. 2) variant of SARS-CoV-2 that began around mid-June
2021 in Sydney, Australia, quickly developed into a nation-wide epidemic. The ongoing …

Growth, reproduction numbers and factors affecting the spread of SARS-CoV-2 novel variants of concern in the UK from October 2020 to July 2021: a modelling …

T Ward, A Glaser, A Johnsen, F Xu, I Hall, L Pellis - BMJ open, 2021 - bmjopen.bmj.com
Objectives Importations of novel variants of concern (VOC), particularly B. 1.617. 2, have
become the impetus behind recent outbreaks of SARS-CoV-2. Concerns around the impact …

Estimated transmissibility and impact of SARS-CoV-2 lineage B. 1.1. 7 in England

NG Davies, S Abbott, RC Barnard, CI Jarvis… - Science, 2021 - science.org
INTRODUCTION Several novel variants of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2
(SARS-CoV-2), the virus that causes COVID-19, emerged in late 2020. One of these, Variant …