The effects of phenotypic plasticity and local adaptation on forecasts of species range shifts under climate change

F Valladares, S Matesanz, F Guilhaumon… - Ecology …, 2014 - Wiley Online Library
Species are the unit of analysis in many global change and conservation biology studies;
however, species are not uniform entities but are composed of different, sometimes locally …

Phenological plasticity will not help all species adapt to climate change

A Duputié, A Rutschmann, O Ronce… - Global change …, 2015 - Wiley Online Library
Concerns are rising about the capacity of species to adapt quickly enough to climate
change. In long‐lived organisms such as trees, genetic adaptation is slow, and how much …

Comparing niche‐and process‐based models to reduce prediction uncertainty in species range shifts under climate change

X Morin, W Thuiller - Ecology, 2009 - Wiley Online Library
Obtaining reliable predictions of species range shifts under climate change is a crucial
challenge for ecologists and stakeholders. At the continental scale, niche‐based models …

Contemporary perspectives on the niche that can improve models of species range shifts under climate change

X Morin, MJ Lechowicz - Biology Letters, 2008 - royalsocietypublishing.org
Pioneering efforts to predict shifts in species distribution under climate change used simple
models based on the correlation between contemporary environmental factors and …

Rates of change in climatic niches in plant and animal populations are much slower than projected climate change

T Jezkova, JJ Wiens - … of the Royal Society B: Biological …, 2016 - royalsocietypublishing.org
Climate change may soon threaten much of global biodiversity. A critical question is: can
species undergo niche shifts of sufficient speed and magnitude to persist within their current …

Incorporating local adaptation into forecasts of species' distribution and abundance under climate change

ML DeMarche, DF Doak, WF Morris - Global Change Biology, 2019 - Wiley Online Library
Populations of many species are genetically adapted to local historical climate conditions.
Yet most forecasts of species' distributions under climate change have ignored local …

The evolutionary genomics of species' responses to climate change

JA Aguirre-Liguori, S Ramírez-Barahona… - Nature Ecology & …, 2021 - nature.com
Climate change is a threat to biodiversity. One way that this threat manifests is through
pronounced shifts in the geographical range of species over time. To predict these shifts …

Patterns and uncertainties of species' range shifts under climate change

W Thuiller - Global change biology, 2004 - Wiley Online Library
Although bioclimatic modelling is often used to estimate potential impacts of likely climate
changes, little has been done to assess the reliability and variability of projections. Here …

Contemporary climate‐driven range shifts: Putting evolution back on the table

SE Diamond - Functional Ecology, 2018 - Wiley Online Library
As the climate continues to change, species are moving to track their climatic niches.
Although we are gaining a clearer picture of where and how quickly species ranges are …

Usefulness of species traits in predicting range shifts

A Estrada, I Morales-Castilla, P Caplat… - Trends in Ecology & …, 2016 - cell.com
Information on the ecological traits of species might improve predictions of climate-driven
range shifts. However, the usefulness of traits is usually assumed rather than quantified …