[HTML][HTML] Scenario-based decision analysis: integrated scenario planning and structured decision making for resource management under climate change

BW Miller, MJ Eaton, AJ Symstad, GW Schuurman… - Biological …, 2023 - Elsevier
Managing resources under climate change is a high-stakes and daunting task, especially
because climate change and associated complex biophysical responses engender …

[引用][C] Considering multiple futures: Scenario planning to address uncertainty in natural resource conservation

EL Rowland, MS Cross, H Hartmann - 2014 - programs.wcs.org
Conservation professionals face unprecedented challenges arising from changes in land
use, invasive species, biodiversity, climate, and more. These changes interact in complex …

An introduction to decision science for conservation

V Hemming, AE Camaclang, MS Adams… - Conservation …, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
Biodiversity conservation decisions are difficult, especially when they involve differing
values, complex multidimensional objectives, scarce resources, urgency, and considerable …

Multiple methods for multiple futures: Integrating qualitative scenario planning and quantitative simulation modeling for natural resource decision making

AJ Symstad, NA Fisichelli, BW Miller, E Rowland… - Climate Risk …, 2017 - Elsevier
Scenario planning helps managers incorporate climate change into their natural resource
decision making through a structured “what-if” process of identifying key uncertainties and …

[PDF][PDF] Repeatable approaches to work with scientific uncertainty and advance climate change adaptation in US national parks

AN Runyon, AR Carlson, J Gross… - Parks Stewardship …, 2020 - escholarship.org
NPS established its Climate Change Response Program (CCRP) in 2009 to support climate-
informed management for all resources, 1 assets, and values across the US national park …

Climate change scenario planning: a model for the integration of science and management in environmental decision-making

AN Cobb, JL Thompson - Environmental Modelling & Software, 2012 - Elsevier
This qualitative case study presents an in-depth evaluation of the scenario planning
process, and an exploration of factors influencing its use as an environmental decision …

Case studies of scenario analysis for adaptive management of natural resource and infrastructure systems

MC Hamilton, SA Thekdi, EM Jenicek… - Environment Systems & …, 2013 - Springer
Management of natural resources and infrastructure systems for sustainability is complicated
by uncertainties in the human and natural environment. Moreover, decisions are further …

[PDF][PDF] Scenario planning for climate change adaptation

SS Moore, NE Seavy, M Gerhart - A guidance for resource managers …, 2013 - glslcities.org
Scenario planning is a tool that embraces uncertainty rather than trying to reduce or
eliminate it. It can help resource managers generate creative approaches to climate change …

Conservation under uncertainty: Innovations in participatory climate change scenario planning from US national parks

BW Miller, GW Schuurman, AJ Symstad… - … Science and Practice, 2022 - Wiley Online Library
The impacts of climate change (CC) on natural and cultural resources are far‐reaching and
complex. A major challenge facing resource managers is not knowing the exact timing and …

Decision tools and approaches to advance ecosystem-based disaster risk reduction and climate change adaptation in the twenty-first century

AW Whelchel, MW Beck - Ecosystem-Based Disaster Risk Reduction and …, 2016 - Springer
Organisations and governments around the globe are developing methodologies to cope
with increasing numbers of disasters and climate change as well as implementing risk …