Initialized Earth System prediction from subseasonal to decadal timescales

GA Meehl, JH Richter, H Teng, A Capotondi… - Nature Reviews Earth & …, 2021 - nature.com
Abstract Initialized Earth System predictions are made by starting a numerical prediction
model in a state as consistent as possible to observations and running it forward in time for …

Advancements in decadal climate predictability: The role of nonoceanic drivers

A Bellucci, R Haarsma, N Bellouin… - Reviews of …, 2015 - Wiley Online Library
We review recent progress in understanding the role of sea ice, land surface, stratosphere,
and aerosols in decadal‐scale predictability and discuss the perspectives for improving the …

[HTML][HTML] Predicting near-term changes in the earth system: a large ensemble of initialized decadal prediction simulations using the community earth system model

SG Yeager, G Danabasoglu… - Bulletin of the …, 2018 - journals.ametsoc.org
Predicting Near-Term Changes in the Earth System: A Large Ensemble of Initialized Decadal
Prediction Simulations Using the Community Earth System Model in: Bulletin of the American …

Assessment of a full-field initialized decadal climate prediction system with the CMIP6 version of EC-Earth

R Bilbao, S Wild, P Ortega… - Earth System …, 2021 - esd.copernicus.org
In this paper, we present and evaluate the skill of an EC-Earth3. 3 decadal prediction system
contributing to the Decadal Climate Prediction Project–Component A (DCPP-A). This …

Robust skill of decadal climate predictions

DM Smith, R Eade, AA Scaife, LP Caron… - npj Climate and …, 2019 - nature.com
There is a growing need for skilful predictions of climate up to a decade ahead. Decadal
climate predictions show high skill for surface temperature, but confidence in forecasts of …

EC-Earth: a seamless earth-system prediction approach in action

W Hazeleger, C Severijns, T Semmler… - Bulletin of the American …, 2010 - JSTOR
BY WILCO HAZELEGER, CAMIEL SEVERIJNS, TIDO SEMMLER, SIMONA ŞTEFăNESCU,
SHUTING YANG, XUELI WANG, KLAUS WYSER, EMANUEL DUTRA, JOSÉ M …

[PDF][PDF] Subseasonal to Seasonal Prediction Project: Bridging the gap between weather and climate

F Vitart, AW Robertson… - Bulletin of the World …, 2012 - researchgate.net
Great progress has been made in recent decades on development and applications of
medium-range weather forecasts and seasonal climate predictions. The subseasonal to …

SPEAR: The next generation GFDL modeling system for seasonal to multidecadal prediction and projection

TL Delworth, WF Cooke, A Adcroft… - Journal of Advances …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
We document the development and simulation characteristics of the next generation
modeling system for seasonal to decadal prediction and projection at the Geophysical Fluid …

Decadal prediction: can it be skillful?

GA Meehl, L Goddard, J Murphy… - Bulletin of the …, 2009 - journals.ametsoc.org
A new field of study,“decadal prediction,” is emerging in climate science. Decadal prediction
lies between seasonal/interannual forecasting and longer-term climate change projections …

[图书][B] Next generation earth system prediction: strategies for subseasonal to seasonal forecasts

National Academies of Sciences, Division on Earth… - 2016 - books.google.com
As the nation's economic activities, security concerns, and stewardship of natural resources
become increasingly complex and globally interrelated, they become ever more sensitive to …