The effective reproduction number R is a prominent statistic for inferring the transmissibility
of infectious diseases and effectiveness of interventions. R purportedly provides an easy-to …

We find that epidemic resurgence, defined as an upswing in the effective reproduction
number (R) of the contagion from subcritical to supercritical values, is fundamentally difficult …

Accurate estimation of the parameters characterising infectious disease transmission is vital
for optimising control interventions during epidemics. A valuable metric for assessing the …

Accurately estimating the effective reproduction number (Rt) of a circulating pathogen is a
fundamental challenge in the study of infectious disease. The fields of epidemiology and …

Infectious-disease outbreaks are often characterized by the reproductive number and
exponential rate of growth r. The reproductive number is of particular interest, because it …

The basic reproductive number, R 0, is one of the most common and most commonly
misapplied numbers in public health. Often used to compare outbreaks and forecast …

The basic reproductive number—R 0—is one of the most common and most commonly
misapplied numbers in public health. Nevertheless, estimating R 0 for every transmissible …

During infectious disease outbreaks, inference of summary statistics characterizing
transmission is essential for planning interventions. An important metric is the time …

The effective reproduction number, R t, is a key prognostic of the growth rate of an infectious
disease epidemic. Significant changes in R t could forewarn about new transmission paths …

Preparation for pandemic events depends heavily on understanding specific disease
characteristics and predicting the dynamics of a particular outbreak. The basic reproduction …