Unifying human infectious disease models and real-time awareness of population-and subpopulation-level intervention effectiveness

RL Seibel, MJ Tildesley, EM Hill - medRxiv, 2024 - medrxiv.org
Background. During infectious disease outbreaks, humans often base their decision to
adhere to an intervention strategy on their personal opinion towards the intervention …

Modeling the interplay between disease spread, behaviors, and disease perception with a data-driven approach

A De Gaetano, A Barrat, D Paolotti - medRxiv, 2024 - medrxiv.org
Individuals' perceptions of disease influence their adherence to preventive measures,
shaping the dynamics of disease spread. Despite extensive research on the interaction …

Analysis of the risk and pre-emptive control of viral outbreaks accounting for within-host dynamics: SARS-CoV-2 antigen testing as a case study

WS Hart, H Park, YD Jeong, KS Kim, R Yoshimura… - medRxiv, 2023 - medrxiv.org
In the era of living with COVID-19, the risk of localised SARS-CoV-2 outbreaks remains.
Here, we develop a multi-scale modelling framework for estimating the local outbreak risk for …

[HTML][HTML] Modelling the Interplay between Responsive Individual Vaccination Decisions and the Spread of SARS-CoV-2

K Wallrafen-Sam, MG Quesada, BA Lopman… - medRxiv, 2023 - ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
The uptake of COVID-19 vaccines remains low despite their high effectiveness. Epidemic
models that represent decision-making psychology can provide insight into the potential …

The impacts of simultaneous disease intervention decisions on epidemic outcomes

MA Andrews, CT Bauch - Journal of theoretical biology, 2016 - Elsevier
Mathematical models of the interplay between disease dynamics and human behavioural
dynamics can improve our understanding of how diseases spread when individuals adapt …

Local risk perception enhances epidemic control

JL Herrera, LA Meyers - arXiv preprint arXiv:1808.05911, 2018 - arxiv.org
As infectious disease outbreaks emerge, public health agencies often enact vaccination and
social distancing measures to slow transmission. Their success depends on not only …

[HTML][HTML] Modeling infectious behaviors: the need to account for behavioral adaptation in COVID-19 models

R Vardavas, PN de Lima, PK Davis… - Policy and complex …, 2021 - ncbi.nlm.nih.gov
The current COVID-19 pandemic affects billions of people worldwide, and its unprecedented
scale and duration are causing extraordinary disruptions to lives and livelihoods …

Analysis of the risk and pre-emptive control of viral outbreaks accounting for within-host dynamics: SARS-CoV-2 as a case study

WS Hart, H Park, YD Jeong, KS Kim… - Proceedings of the …, 2023 - National Acad Sciences
In the era of living with COVID-19, the risk of localised SARS-CoV-2 outbreaks remains.
Here, we develop a multiscale modelling framework for estimating the local outbreak risk for …

[HTML][HTML] Using mechanistic model-based inference to understand and project epidemic dynamics with time-varying contact and vaccination rates

MJ Plank, SC Hendy, RN Binny, G Vattiato, A Lustig… - Scientific Reports, 2022 - nature.com
Epidemiological models range in complexity from relatively simple statistical models that
make minimal assumptions about the variables driving epidemic dynamics to more …

Pharmaceutical and non-pharmaceutical interventions for controlling the COVID-19 pandemic

J Molla, S Farhang-Sardroodi… - Royal Society …, 2023 - royalsocietypublishing.org
Disease spread can be affected by pharmaceutical interventions (such as vaccination) and
non-pharmaceutical interventions (such as physical distancing, mask-wearing and contact …