A model and process for assessing the technology infusion impact on uncertain aeronautical products

HA Alves, LG Trabasso - Product: Management and Development, 2014 - pmd.igdp.org.br
This paper presents a method for assessing the impact of infusing one or more technologies
in aeronautical products in early design phases with their associated uncertainty. The global …

Uncertainty management in technologies prioritization for future aircraft program

C Jouannet, K Amadori, E Bäckström… - AIAA Scitech 2020 …, 2020 - arc.aiaa.org
This paper presents a methodology under development at Saab Aeronautics to provide
better insight to technology impact and prioritization with respect to a future aircraft program …

A practical method for uncertainty analysis in the aircraft conceptual design phase

S Van Haver, R Vos - 53rd AIAA Aerospace Sciences Meeting, 2015 - arc.aiaa.org
A methodology has been developed and tested to propagate the performance uncertainty of
emerging technologies from the system level to the aircraft level. This allows one to get an …

Enabling technology portfolio selection through quantitative uncertainty analysis

KN Gatian, DN Mavris - 15th AIAA Aviation Technology, Integration, and …, 2015 - arc.aiaa.org
When aggressive performance goals for next generation aircraft systems are set, technology
development programs must select the appropriate sub-set of technologies to achieve them …

[图书][B] Affordable identification and modelling of uncertain design specifications when introducing new technologies in space applications

O Borgue - 2021 - search.proquest.com
When introducing new technologies in space products, both the uncertainties regarding
technology feasibility and the way in which the technology affects the product development …

Risk-Based Approach to Assessment of Advanced Technologies for Conceptual Design

AS Asmady, A Drake - 16th AIAA Aviation Technology, Integration, and …, 2016 - arc.aiaa.org
The conceptual design phase is typically characterized by a short duration and relatively
limited resources, yet design decisions are made that have critical implications on program …

Selecting technologies in aircraft conceptual design using probabilistic inversion

MN Roelofs, D Kurowicka, R Vos - Journal of Aircraft, 2021 - arc.aiaa.org
Technology forecasting is an essential starting point for conceptual design of any complex
engineering system. In fact, many research projects are focused on developing a small set of …

A Methodology for Assessing Enabling Technology Uncertainty on Advanced Aircraft Configurations

G Busch, C Hegde, P Prakasha, D Trawick… - 51st AIAA Aerospace …, 2013 - arc.aiaa.org
Designers have always faced the challenge of changing requirements and uncertainty given
the available resources. This challenge is further compounded in early stages of aircraft …

Forecasting technology uncertainty in preliminary aircraft design

MR Kirby, DN Mavris - SAE transactions, 1999 - JSTOR
An evolved version of the Technology Identification, Evaluation, and Selection (TIES)
method is presented that provides techniques for quantifying technological uncertainty …

[图书][B] A methodology for uncertainty quantification in quantitative technology valuation based on expert elicitation

MFB Akram - 2012 - search.proquest.com
The management of technology portfolios is an important element of aerospace system
design. New technologies are often applied to new product designs to ensure their …