Age patterns of HIV incidence in eastern and southern Africa: a modelling analysis of observational population-based cohort studies
Background As the HIV epidemic in sub-Saharan Africa matures, evidence about the age
distribution of new HIV infections and how this distribution has changed over the epidemic is …
distribution of new HIV infections and how this distribution has changed over the epidemic is …
Large age shifts in HIV-1 incidence patterns in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa
Recent declines in adult HIV-1 incidence have followed the large-scale expansion of
antiretroviral therapy and primary HIV prevention across high-burden communities of sub …
antiretroviral therapy and primary HIV prevention across high-burden communities of sub …
Subnational mapping of HIV incidence and mortality among individuals aged 15–49 years in sub-Saharan Africa, 2000–18: a modelling study
B Sartorius, JD VanderHeide, M Yang… - The Lancet …, 2021 - thelancet.com
Background High-resolution estimates of HIV burden across space and time provide an
important tool for tracking and monitoring the progress of prevention and control efforts and …
important tool for tracking and monitoring the progress of prevention and control efforts and …
Patterns of infection: using age prevalence data to understand epidemic of HIV in South Africa
South Africa is experiencing an explosive epidemic of HIV/AIDS, with about one in four
women attending ante-natal clinics nation-wide being HIV-positive. In order to understand …
women attending ante-natal clinics nation-wide being HIV-positive. In order to understand …
Assessment of epidemic projections using recent HIV survey data in South Africa: a validation analysis of ten mathematical models of HIV epidemiology in the …
JW Eaton, N Bacaër, A Bershteyn… - The Lancet Global …, 2015 - thelancet.com
Background Mathematical models are widely used to simulate the effects of interventions to
control HIV and to project future epidemiological trends and resource needs. We aimed to …
control HIV and to project future epidemiological trends and resource needs. We aimed to …
Adult HIV-1 incidence across 15 high-burden countries in sub-Saharan Africa from 2015 to 2019: a pooled analysis of nationally representative data
Background Harmonised population-based surveys with recent HIV-1 infection testing
algorithms permit pooled cross-sectional estimation of HIV incidence across multiple …
algorithms permit pooled cross-sectional estimation of HIV incidence across multiple …
Prevalence of HIV among those 15 and older in rural South Africa
FX Gómez-Olivé, N Angotti, B Houle… - AIDS care, 2013 - Taylor & Francis
A greater knowledge of the burden of HIV in rural areas of Southern Africa is needed,
especially among older adults. We conducted a cross-sectional biomarker survey in the rural …
especially among older adults. We conducted a cross-sectional biomarker survey in the rural …
Demographic change and HIV epidemic projections to 2050 for adolescents and young people aged 15-24
Background: Ending AIDS as a public health threat by 2030 is a significant challenge, as
new HIV infections among adolescents and young people have not decreased fast enough …
new HIV infections among adolescents and young people have not decreased fast enough …
Epidemiological and demographic HIV/AIDS projections: South Africa
TM Rehle, O Shisana - African Journal of AIDS Research, 2003 - Taylor & Francis
The Epidemic Projection Package (EPP) recently developed by the UNAIDS Reference
Group on Estimates, Models and Projections and the Spectrum model program developed …
Group on Estimates, Models and Projections and the Spectrum model program developed …
Lack of a decline in HIV incidence in a rural community with high HIV prevalence in South Africa, 2003–2007
To understand the dynamics of the HIV epidemic and to plan HIV treatment and prevention
programs, it is critical to know how HIV incidence in a population evolves over time. We used …
programs, it is critical to know how HIV incidence in a population evolves over time. We used …