Decomposing crop model uncertainty: A systematic review
Crop models are essential tools for analysing the effects of climate variability, change on
crop growth and development and the potential impact of adaptation strategies. Despite their …
crop growth and development and the potential impact of adaptation strategies. Despite their …
Estimating uncertainty in crop model predictions: Current situation and future prospects
D Wallach, PJ Thorburn - European Journal of Agronomy, 2017 - Elsevier
In this introductory paper to the special issue on crop model prediction uncertainty, we
present and compare the methodological choices in the studies included in this issue, and …
present and compare the methodological choices in the studies included in this issue, and …
Sources of uncertainty for wheat yield projections under future climate are site-specific
Understanding sources of uncertainty in climate–crop modelling is critical for informing
adaptation strategies for cropping systems. An understanding of the major sources of …
adaptation strategies for cropping systems. An understanding of the major sources of …
[HTML][HTML] Improving the use of crop models for risk assessment and climate change adaptation
Crop models are used for an increasingly broad range of applications, with a commensurate
proliferation of methods. Careful framing of research questions and development of targeted …
proliferation of methods. Careful framing of research questions and development of targeted …
Quantifying uncertainty in crop model predictions due to the uncertainty in the observations used for calibration
R Confalonieri, S Bregaglio, M Acutis - Ecological modelling, 2016 - Elsevier
Despite modellers are paying increasing attention to analyse and manage the different
sources of uncertainty affecting model predictions, the impact of the uncertainty in the …
sources of uncertainty affecting model predictions, the impact of the uncertainty in the …
Exploring the uncertainty in projected wheat phenology, growth and yield under climate change in China
Exploring and quantifying the uncertainties in climate impact assessment with multiple
climate-crop models is crucial to reducing the total uncertainty and guiding adaptation …
climate-crop models is crucial to reducing the total uncertainty and guiding adaptation …
Assessing uncertainty and complexity in regional-scale crop model simulations
J Ramirez-Villegas, AK Koehler, AJ Challinor - European Journal of …, 2017 - Elsevier
Crop models are imperfect approximations to real world interactions between biotic and
abiotic factors. In some situations, the uncertainties associated with choices in model …
abiotic factors. In some situations, the uncertainties associated with choices in model …
Climate change impact on wheat and maize growth in Ethiopia: A multi-model uncertainty analysis
Ethiopia's economy is dominated by agriculture which is mainly rain-fed and subsistence.
Climate change is expected to have an adverse impact particularly on crop production …
Climate change is expected to have an adverse impact particularly on crop production …
Projecting climate change impacts on grain maize based on three different crop model approaches
A Holzkämper, P Calanca, M Honti, J Fuhrer - Agricultural and forest …, 2015 - Elsevier
Decision making in climate change adaptation planning depends on the quantification and
broad understanding of uncertainties in projected climate impacts. In a case study, we …
broad understanding of uncertainties in projected climate impacts. In a case study, we …
Integrating machine learning and environmental variables to constrain uncertainty in crop yield change projections under climate change
Robust crop yield projections under future climates are fundamental prerequisites for
reliable policy formation. Both process-based crop models and statistical models are …
reliable policy formation. Both process-based crop models and statistical models are …