Decomposing crop model uncertainty: A systematic review

R Chapagain, TA Remenyi, RMB Harris… - Field Crops …, 2022 - Elsevier
Crop models are essential tools for analysing the effects of climate variability, change on
crop growth and development and the potential impact of adaptation strategies. Despite their …

Estimating uncertainty in crop model predictions: Current situation and future prospects

D Wallach, PJ Thorburn - European Journal of Agronomy, 2017 - Elsevier
In this introductory paper to the special issue on crop model prediction uncertainty, we
present and compare the methodological choices in the studies included in this issue, and …

Sources of uncertainty for wheat yield projections under future climate are site-specific

B Wang, P Feng, DL Liu, GJ O'Leary, I Macadam… - Nature Food, 2020 - nature.com
Understanding sources of uncertainty in climate–crop modelling is critical for informing
adaptation strategies for cropping systems. An understanding of the major sources of …

[HTML][HTML] Improving the use of crop models for risk assessment and climate change adaptation

AJ Challinor, C Müller, S Asseng, C Deva, KJ Nicklin… - Agricultural systems, 2018 - Elsevier
Crop models are used for an increasingly broad range of applications, with a commensurate
proliferation of methods. Careful framing of research questions and development of targeted …

Quantifying uncertainty in crop model predictions due to the uncertainty in the observations used for calibration

R Confalonieri, S Bregaglio, M Acutis - Ecological modelling, 2016 - Elsevier
Despite modellers are paying increasing attention to analyse and manage the different
sources of uncertainty affecting model predictions, the impact of the uncertainty in the …

Exploring the uncertainty in projected wheat phenology, growth and yield under climate change in China

H Liu, W Xiong, DNL Pequeño… - Agricultural and Forest …, 2022 - Elsevier
Exploring and quantifying the uncertainties in climate impact assessment with multiple
climate-crop models is crucial to reducing the total uncertainty and guiding adaptation …

Assessing uncertainty and complexity in regional-scale crop model simulations

J Ramirez-Villegas, AK Koehler, AJ Challinor - European Journal of …, 2017 - Elsevier
Crop models are imperfect approximations to real world interactions between biotic and
abiotic factors. In some situations, the uncertainties associated with choices in model …

Climate change impact on wheat and maize growth in Ethiopia: A multi-model uncertainty analysis

FM Rettie, S Gayler, T KD Weber, K Tesfaye, T Streck - PloS one, 2022 - journals.plos.org
Ethiopia's economy is dominated by agriculture which is mainly rain-fed and subsistence.
Climate change is expected to have an adverse impact particularly on crop production …

Projecting climate change impacts on grain maize based on three different crop model approaches

A Holzkämper, P Calanca, M Honti, J Fuhrer - Agricultural and forest …, 2015 - Elsevier
Decision making in climate change adaptation planning depends on the quantification and
broad understanding of uncertainties in projected climate impacts. In a case study, we …

Integrating machine learning and environmental variables to constrain uncertainty in crop yield change projections under climate change

L Li, Y Zhang, B Wang, P Feng, Q He, Y Shi… - European Journal of …, 2023 - Elsevier
Robust crop yield projections under future climates are fundamental prerequisites for
reliable policy formation. Both process-based crop models and statistical models are …