Development of temporal modelling for forecasting and prediction of malaria infections using time-series and ARIMAX analyses: a case study in endemic districts of …
K Wangdi, P Singhasivanon, T Silawan, S Lawpoolsri… - Malaria Journal, 2010 - Springer
Background Malaria still remains a public health problem in some districts of Bhutan despite
marked reduction of cases in last few years. To strengthen the country's prevention and …
marked reduction of cases in last few years. To strengthen the country's prevention and …
Time series analysis of malaria in Afghanistan: using ARIMA models to predict future trends in incidence
Background Malaria remains endemic in Afghanistan. National control and prevention
strategies would be greatly enhanced through a better ability to forecast future trends in …
strategies would be greatly enhanced through a better ability to forecast future trends in …
Forecasting malaria cases using climatic factors in Delhi, India: a time series analysis
V Kumar, A Mangal, S Panesar, G Yadav… - Malaria research …, 2014 - Wiley Online Library
Background. Malaria still remains a public health problem in developing countries and
changing environmental and climatic factors pose the biggest challenge in fighting against …
changing environmental and climatic factors pose the biggest challenge in fighting against …
Time series analysis of malaria in Kumasi: Using ARIMA models to forecast future incidence
Malaria is a disease caused by the Plasmodium genus that is transmitted between humans
by Anopheles mosquitoes. The study sought to assess the trends of Malaria incidence in …
by Anopheles mosquitoes. The study sought to assess the trends of Malaria incidence in …
A seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) forecasting model to predict monthly malaria cases in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa
O Ebhuoma, M Gebreslasie, L Magubane - South African medical journal, 2018 - ajol.info
Background. South Africa (SA) in general, and KwaZulu-Natal (KZN) Province in particular,
have stepped up efforts to eliminate malaria. To strengthen malaria control in KZN, a …
have stepped up efforts to eliminate malaria. To strengthen malaria control in KZN, a …
A Weather‐Based Prediction Model of Malaria Prevalence in Amenfi West District, Ghana
This study investigated the effects of climatic variables, particularly, rainfall and temperature,
on malaria incidence using time series analysis. Our preliminary analysis revealed that …
on malaria incidence using time series analysis. Our preliminary analysis revealed that …
Models for short term malaria prediction in Sri Lanka
OJT Briët, P Vounatsou, DM Gunawardena… - Malaria Journal, 2008 - Springer
Abstract Background Malaria in Sri Lanka is unstable and fluctuates in intensity both
spatially and temporally. Although the case counts are dwindling at present, given the past …
spatially and temporally. Although the case counts are dwindling at present, given the past …
Forecasting malaria incidence based on monthly case reports and environmental factors in Karuzi, Burundi, 1997–2003
A Gomez-Elipe, A Otero, M Van Herp, A Aguirre-Jaime - Malaria Journal, 2007 - Springer
Background The objective of this work was to develop a model to predict malaria incidence
in an area of unstable transmission by studying the association between environmental …
in an area of unstable transmission by studying the association between environmental …
Generalized seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average models for count data with application to malaria time series with low case numbers
OJT Briët, PH Amerasinghe, P Vounatsou - PloS one, 2013 - journals.plos.org
Introduction With the renewed drive towards malaria elimination, there is a need for
improved surveillance tools. While time series analysis is an important tool for surveillance …
improved surveillance tools. While time series analysis is an important tool for surveillance …
A spatio-temporal analysis to identify the drivers of malaria transmission in Bhutan
K Wangdi, Z Xu, AT Suwannatrai, J Kurscheid, A Lal… - Scientific Reports, 2020 - nature.com
At a time when Bhutan is on the verge of malaria elimination, the aim of this study was to
identify malaria clusters at high geographical resolution and to determine its association with …
identify malaria clusters at high geographical resolution and to determine its association with …
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