Flaws and uncertainties in pandemic global excess death calculations
Several teams have been publishing global estimates of excess deaths during the COVID‐
19 pandemic. Here, we examine potential flaws and underappreciated sources of …
19 pandemic. Here, we examine potential flaws and underappreciated sources of …
Robustness and bias of European excess death estimates in 2020 under varying model specifications
J Schöley - MedRxiv, 2021 - medrxiv.org
Various procedures are in use to calculate excess deaths during the ongoing COVID-19
pandemic. Using weekly death counts from 20 European countries, we evaluate the …
pandemic. Using weekly death counts from 20 European countries, we evaluate the …
Comparison of pandemic excess mortality in 2020–2021 across different empirical calculations
Different modeling approaches can be used to calculate excess deaths for the COVID-19
pandemic period. We compared 6 calculations of excess deaths (4 previously published [3 …
pandemic period. We compared 6 calculations of excess deaths (4 previously published [3 …
Variability in excess deaths across countries with different vulnerability during 2020–2023
Excess deaths provide total impact estimates of major crises, such as the COVID-19
pandemic. We evaluated excess death trajectories across countries with accurate death …
pandemic. We evaluated excess death trajectories across countries with accurate death …
Estimating under-recognized COVID-19 deaths, United States, march 2020-may 2021 using an excess mortality modelling approach
AD Iuliano, HH Chang, NN Patel, R Threlkel… - The Lancet Regional …, 2021 - thelancet.com
Abstract Background In the United States, Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) deaths
are captured through the National Notifiable Disease Surveillance System and death …
are captured through the National Notifiable Disease Surveillance System and death …
Excess deaths in the United States during the first year of COVID-19
CJ Ruhm - Preventive Medicine, 2022 - Elsevier
Accurately determining the number of excess deaths caused by the COVID-19 pandemic is
hard. The most important challenge is determining the counterfactual count of baseline …
hard. The most important challenge is determining the counterfactual count of baseline …
Estimates of excess mortality for the five Nordic countries during the COVID-19 pandemic 2020− 2021
Background Excess mortality during the COVID-19 pandemic is of major scientific and
political interest. Methods We critically reviewed different estimates of all-cause excess …
political interest. Methods We critically reviewed different estimates of all-cause excess …
[HTML][HTML] What should be the baseline when calculating excess mortality? New approaches suggest that we have underestimated the impact of the COVID-19 …
Excess mortality has been used to measure the impact of COVID-19 over time and across
countries. But what baseline should be chosen? We propose two novel approaches: an …
countries. But what baseline should be chosen? We propose two novel approaches: an …
Sensitivity analysis of excess mortality due to the COVID‐19 pandemic
Estimating excess mortality is challenging. The metric depends on the expected mortality
level, which can differ based on given choices, such as the method and the time series …
level, which can differ based on given choices, such as the method and the time series …
[HTML][HTML] Estimating excess mortality due to the COVID-19 pandemic: a systematic analysis of COVID-19-related mortality, 2020–21
H Wang, KR Paulson, SA Pease, S Watson, H Comfort… - The Lancet, 2022 - thelancet.com
Background Mortality statistics are fundamental to public health decision making. Mortality
varies by time and location, and its measurement is affected by well known biases that have …
varies by time and location, and its measurement is affected by well known biases that have …