Assessing causality in financial time series

AB Zaremba - 2022 - discovery.ucl.ac.uk
We develop new classes of semiparametric multivariate time series models based on Multi-
Output Gaussian Processes and warped Multi-Output Gaussian Processes. These describe …

Temporal causal modeling

P Kambadur, AC Lozano, R Luss - Financial Signal Processing …, 2016 - Wiley Online Library
Discovering causal relationships in multivariate time series data has important applications
in finance. This chapter discusses temporal causal modeling (TCM), an approach that …

Statistical causality for multivariate nonlinear time series via Gaussian process models

AB Zaremba, GW Peters - Methodology and Computing in Applied …, 2022 - Springer
The ability to test for statistical causality in linear and nonlinear contexts, in stationary or non-
stationary settings, and to identify whether statistical causality influences trend of volatility …

Identification of causal relationships in non-stationary time series with an information measure: Evidence for simulated and financial data

A Papana, C Kyrtsou, D Kugiumtzis, C Diks - Empirical Economics, 2023 - Springer
The standard linear Granger causality test, based on the vector autoregressive model (VAR),
requires stationarity of the time series. A VAR model is fitted to the first-differences of the time …

[PDF][PDF] Causality in Time-Series: A Short

GK Palshikar, M Apte, S Vaishampayan, A Shinde - publications.scrs.in
The study of causal relations has been proved to be significant in acquisition,
understanding, and representation of human knowledge across physical and biological …

Statistical Causality for Multivariate Non-Linear Time Series via Gaussian Processes

A Zaremba, G Peters - Available at SSRN 3609497, 2020 - papers.ssrn.com
The ability to test for statistical causality in linear and non-linear contexts, in stationary or non-
stationary settings and to identify whether statistical causality influences trend of volatility …

A bootstrap test for causality with endogenous lag length choice: theory and application in finance

S Hacker, A Hatemi‐J - Journal of Economic Studies, 2012 - emerald.com
Purpose–In all existing theoretical papers on causality it is assumed that the lag length is
known a priori. However, in applied research the lag length has to be selected before testing …

[PDF][PDF] Modelling the Covariance Dynamics of Multivariate Financial Time Series

E Dzuverovic, E Otranto - 2024 - iris.unime.it
Writing this thesis provided me the chance to meet many exceptional people, travel the
world, and, most importantly, learn lots of things. In this regard, there are many people whom …

On the Three Demons in Causality in Finance: Time Resolution, Nonstationarity, and Latent Factors

X Dong, H Dai, Y Fan, S Jin, S Rajendran… - arXiv preprint arXiv …, 2023 - arxiv.org
Financial data is generally time series in essence and thus suffers from three fundamental
issues: the mismatch in time resolution, the time-varying property of the distribution …

Inference on local causality and tests of non-causality in time series

T Bouezmarni, F Camirand Lemyre, JF Quessy - 2019 - projecteuclid.org
The study of the causal relationships in a stochastic process (Y_t,Z_t)_t∈Z is a subject of a
particular interest in finance and economy. A widely-used approach is to consider the notion …