Future warming increases probability of globally synchronized maize production shocks

M Tigchelaar, DS Battisti… - Proceedings of the …, 2018 - National Acad Sciences
Meeting the global food demand of roughly 10 billion people by the middle of the 21st
century will become increasingly challenging as the Earth's climate continues to warm …

Projected temperature changes indicate significant increase in interannual variability of US maize yields: A Letter

D Urban, MJ Roberts, W Schlenker, DB Lobell - Climatic change, 2012 - Springer
Climate change has the potential to be a source of increased variability if crops are more
frequently exposed to damaging weather conditions. Yield variability could respond to a shift …

[HTML][HTML] Climate variation explains a third of global crop yield variability

DK Ray, JS Gerber, GK MacDonald, PC West - Nature communications, 2015 - nature.com
Many studies have examined the role of mean climate change in agriculture, but an
understanding of the influence of inter-annual climate variations on crop yields in different …

Dissecting the nonlinear response of maize yield to high temperature stress with model‐data integration

P Zhu, Q Zhuang, SV Archontoulis… - Global change …, 2019 - Wiley Online Library
Evidence suggests that global maize yield declines with a warming climate, particularly with
extreme heat events. However, the degree to which important maize processes such as …

When will current climate extremes affecting maize production become the norm?

M Zampieri, A Ceglar, F Dentener, A Dosio… - Earth's …, 2019 - Wiley Online Library
We estimate the effects of climate anomalies (heat stress and drought) on annual maize
production, variability, and trend from the country level to the global scale using a statistical …

Increasing influence of heat stress on French maize yields from the 1960s to the 2030s

E Hawkins, TE Fricker, AJ Challinor… - Global change …, 2013 - Wiley Online Library
Improved crop yield forecasts could enable more effective adaptation to climate variability
and change. Here, we explore how to combine historical observations of crop yields and …

Current warming will reduce yields unless maize breeding and seed systems adapt immediately

AJ Challinor, AK Koehler, J Ramirez-Villegas… - Nature Climate …, 2016 - nature.com
The development of crop varieties that are better suited to new climatic conditions is vital for
future food production,. Increases in mean temperature accelerate crop development …

Spatial variations in crop growing seasons pivotal to reproduce global fluctuations in maize and wheat yields

J Jägermeyr, K Frieler - Science advances, 2018 - science.org
Testing our understanding of crop yield responses to weather fluctuations at global scale is
notoriously hampered by limited information about underlying management conditions, such …

[HTML][HTML] Responses of crop yield growth to global temperature and socioeconomic changes

T Iizumi, J Furuya, Z Shen, W Kim, M Okada… - Scientific Reports, 2017 - nature.com
Although biophysical yield responses to local warming have been studied, we know little
about how crop yield growth—a function of climate and technology—responds to global …

[HTML][HTML] Increased wheat price spikes and larger economic inequality with 2 C global warming

T Zhang, K van der Wiel, T Wei, J Screen, X Yue… - One Earth, 2022 - cell.com
Climate change poses complex impacts on the global wheat supply and demand chain. The
impacts of climate change on average wheat yields are reasonably well studied, but its …