[HTML][HTML] A multi-stage anticipated surprise model with dynamic expectation for economic decision-making

HK Chan, T Toyoizumi - Scientific Reports, 2024 - nature.com
There are many modeling works that aim to explain people's behaviors that violate classical
economic theories. However, these models often do not take into full account the multi-stage …

An economic decision-making model of anticipated surprise with dynamic expectation

HK Chan, T Toyoizumi - arXiv preprint arXiv:2108.12347, 2021 - arxiv.org
When making decisions under risk, people often exhibit behaviors that classical economic
theories cannot explain. Newer models that attempt to account for these irrational behaviors …

[HTML][HTML] Forecasted economic change and the self-fulfilling prophecy in economic decision-making

D Petropoulos Petalas, H Van Schie… - Plos one, 2017 - journals.plos.org
This study addresses the self-fulfilling prophecy effect, in the domain of economic decision-
making. We present experimental data in support of the hypothesis that speculative …

Person-by-person prediction of intuitive economic choice

G Mengov - Neural Networks, 2014 - Elsevier
Decision making is an interdisciplinary field, which is explored with methods spanning from
economic experiments to brain scanning. Its dominant paradigms such as utility theory …

[HTML][HTML] The value of foresight: how prospection affects decision-making

G Pezzulo, F Rigoli - Frontiers in Neuroscience, 2011 - frontiersin.org
Traditional theories of decision-making assume that utilities are based on the intrinsic value
of outcomes; in turn, these values depend on associations between expected outcomes and …

Over-representation of extreme events in decision-making: A rational metacognitive account

AS Nobandegani, KS Castanheira, AR Otto… - arXiv preprint arXiv …, 2018 - arxiv.org
The Availability bias, manifested in the over-representation of extreme eventualities in
decision-making, is a well-known cognitive bias, and is generally taken as evidence of …

Complex economic decisions from simple neurocognitive processes: The role of interactive attention

L He, S Bhatia - Proceedings of the Royal Society B, 2023 - royalsocietypublishing.org
Neurocognitive theories of value-based choice propose that people additively accumulate
choice attributes when making decisions. These theories cannot explain the emergence of …

[HTML][HTML] The modulation of savouring by prediction error and its effects on choice

K Iigaya, GW Story, Z Kurth-Nelson, RJ Dolan, P Dayan - Elife, 2016 - elifesciences.org
When people anticipate uncertain future outcomes, they often prefer to know their fate in
advance. Inspired by an idea in behavioral economics that the anticipation of rewards is …

Endogenous risk attitudes

N Netzer, AJ Robson, J Steiner, P Kocourek - 2022 - papers.ssrn.com
In a model inspired by neuroscience, we show that constrained optimal perception encodes
lottery rewards using an S-shaped encoding function and over-samples low-probability …

Dynamic prospect theory: Two core decision theories coexist in the gambling behavior of monkeys and humans

A Tymula, X Wang, Y Imaizumi, T Kawai… - Science …, 2023 - science.org
Research in the multidisciplinary field of neuroeconomics has mainly been driven by two
influential theories regarding human economic choice: prospect theory, which describes …