Global warming in the pipeline

JE Hansen, M Sato, L Simons… - Oxford Open Climate …, 2023 - academic.oup.com
Improved knowledge of glacial-to-interglacial global temperature change yields Charney
(fast-feedback) equilibrium climate sensitivity 1.2±0.3° C (2σ) per W/m2, which is 4.8° C±1.2° …

On avoiding dangerous anthropogenic interference with the climate system: Formidable challenges ahead

V Ramanathan, YAN Feng - Proceedings of the National …, 2008 - National Acad Sciences
The observed increase in the concentration of greenhouse gases (GHGs) since the
preindustrial era has most likely committed the world to a warming of 2.4° C (1.4° C to 4.3° …

Climate sensitivity, sea level and atmospheric carbon dioxide

J Hansen, M Sato, G Russell… - … Transactions of the …, 2013 - royalsocietypublishing.org
Cenozoic temperature, sea level and CO2 covariations provide insights into climate
sensitivity to external forcings and sea-level sensitivity to climate change. Climate sensitivity …

Target atmospheric CO2: Where should humanity aim?

J Hansen, M Sato, P Kharecha, D Beerling… - arXiv preprint arXiv …, 2008 - arxiv.org
Paleoclimate data show that climate sensitivity is~ 3 deg-C for doubled CO2, including only
fast feedback processes. Equilibrium sensitivity, including slower surface albedo feedbacks …

Are there pre-Quaternary geological analogues for a future greenhouse warming?

AM Haywood, A Ridgwell, DJ Lunt… - … of the Royal …, 2011 - royalsocietypublishing.org
Given the inherent uncertainties in predicting how climate and environments will respond to
anthropogenic emissions of greenhouse gases, it would be beneficial to society if science …

Climate change and trace gases

J Hansen, M Sato, P Kharecha… - … of the Royal …, 2007 - royalsocietypublishing.org
Palaeoclimate data show that the Earth's climate is remarkably sensitive to global forcings.
Positive feedbacks predominate. This allows the entire planet to be whipsawed between …

Less than 2 C warming by 2100 unlikely

AE Raftery, A Zimmer, DMW Frierson, R Startz… - Nature climate …, 2017 - nature.com
Abstract The recently published Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)
projections to 2100 give likely ranges of global temperature increase in four scenarios for …

Climate sensitivity estimated from temperature reconstructions of the Last Glacial Maximum

A Schmittner, NM Urban, JD Shakun, NM Mahowald… - Science, 2011 - science.org
Assessing the impact of future anthropogenic carbon emissions is currently impeded by
uncertainties in our knowledge of equilibrium climate sensitivity to atmospheric carbon …

Past climates inform our future

JE Tierney, CJ Poulsen, IP Montañez, T Bhattacharya… - science, 2020 - science.org
BACKGROUND Anthropogenic emissions are rapidly altering Earth's climate, pushing it
toward a warmer state for which there is no historical precedent. Although no perfect analog …

Equivalence of greenhouse-gas emissions for peak temperature limits

SM Smith, JA Lowe, NHA Bowerman, LK Gohar… - Nature Climate …, 2012 - nature.com
Climate policies address emissions of many greenhouse gases including carbon dioxide,
methane, nitrous oxide and various halogen-containing compounds. These are aggregated …