Credit frictions and'sudden stops' in small open economies: an equilibrium business cycle framework for emerging markets crises

C Arellano, EG Mendoza - 2002 - nber.org
Financial frictions are a central element of most of the models that the literature on emerging
markets crises has proposed for explaining the Sudden Stop'phenomenon. To date, few …

A rational expectations model of financial contagion

LE Kodres, M Pritsker - The journal of finance, 2002 - Wiley Online Library
We develop a multiple asset rational expectations model of asset prices to explain financial
market contagion. Although the model allows contagion through several channels, our focus …

The unholy trinity of financial contagion

GL Kaminsky, CM Reinhart, CA Vegh - Journal of economic …, 2002 - aeaweb.org
Over the last 20 years, some financial events, such as devaluations or defaults, have
triggered an immediate adverse chain reaction in other countries--which we call fast and …

Emerging market instability: do sovereign ratings affect country risk and stock returns?

G Kaminsky, SL Schmukler - The World Bank Economic Review, 2002 - academic.oup.com
Abstract Changes in sovereign debt ratings and outlooks affect financial markets in
emerging economies. They affect not only the instrument being rated (bonds) but also …

[PDF][PDF] Credit, prices, and crashes: Business cycles with a sudden stop

EG Mendoza - Preventing currency crises in emerging markets, 2002 - nber.org
The epidemic of capital-markets crises that hit emerging economies in the 1990s displayed
the empirical regularities of a phenomenon that Calvo (1998) labeled a “sudden stop.” 1 …

On dollarization

GA Calvo - Economics of transition, 2002 - Wiley Online Library
The paper examines the case for dollarization in emerging market economies. It is claimed
that dollarization becomes an attractive monetary regime when account is taken of recent …

Emerging market spreads: then versus now

P Mauro, N Sussman, Y Yafeh - The Quarterly Journal of …, 2002 - academic.oup.com
We analyze yield spreads on sovereign bonds issued by emerging markets, using modern
data from the 1990s and newly collected historical data on bonds traded in London during …

[PDF][PDF] Are trade linkages important determinants of country vulnerability to crises?

KJ Forbes - Preventing currency crises in emerging markets, 2002 - nber.org
The latter half of the 1990s was punctuated by a series of financial and currency crises: the
Mexican peso collapse in 1994; the East Asian crisis in 1997–98; the Russian collapse in …

The limits to globalization theory: a geographic perspective on global economic change

HW Yeung - Economic geography, 2002 - Wiley Online Library
The nature of globalization and global economic change has been a subject of immense
academic research during the past two decades. The Janus face of globalization, however …

Leading indicators of balance-of-payments crises: A partial review

MKF Chui - 2002 - papers.ssrn.com
This paper reviews the theory of balance-of-payments crises, and its implications for
identifying potential leading indicators of crises. It discusses and evaluates three different …