Higher national incomes are correlated with political stability. Is this relationship causal? We
test three theories linking income to conflict with new data on export price shocks. Price …

This article investigates how hybrid regimes supply governance by examining a series of
dilemmas (involving elections, the mass media, and state institutions) that their rulers face …

Much of the recent research on civil war treats explanations rooted in political and economic
grievances with considerable suspicion and claims that there is little empirical evidence of …

A combination of technological change, methodological drift and a certain degree of
intellectual sloth, particularly with respect to philosophy of science, has allowed …

The international community uses a number of interventions to make and build peace. How
effective are these interventions? What works and what does not? Some of the commonly …

There have been more than 200 wars since the start of the 20th century, leading to about 35
million battle deaths. However, efforts at forecasting conflicts have so far performed poorly …

The quantitative analysis of the Arab Spring events is a rather difficult task. Respective
difficulties are related to the variety of factors affecting social instability, and to individual …

It is widely recognised that the presence of some fossil fuels and their transport routes can
affect the risk of conflicts. Other parts of the energy system and contextual conditions (social …

State‐building is a central tenet of many current development efforts. This primacy of the
state rests on a global normative script that emphasizes the role of the modern state in …

Because autocrats can rarely be voted out of power, most find themselves exiting office in far
less conventional ways. Since the 1950s, the coup d'état—or the illegal seizure of power by …