A credibility-based yield forecasting model for crop reinsurance pricing and weather risk management

W Zhu, L Porth, KS Tan - Agricultural Finance Review, 2019 - emerald.com
Purpose The purpose of this paper is to propose an improved reinsurance pricing
framework, which includes a crop yield forecasting model that integrates weather variables …

Sub-daily temporal reconstruction of extreme precipitation events using NWP model simulations

V Bližňák, M Kašpar, M Müller, P Zacharov - Atmospheric Research, 2019 - Elsevier
An alternative correction procedure for a posteriori improvement of quantitative precipitation
re-forecast generated by a numerical weather prediction (NWP) model COSMO in a high …

Mixture probabilistic model for precipitation ensemble forecasting

Y Wu, X Yang, W Zhang… - Quarterly Journal of the …, 2019 - Wiley Online Library
Statistical post‐processing approaches are widely employed to construct improved
probabilistic meteorological forecasts from numerical weather prediction. However …

[PDF][PDF] Beating The Curse of Dimensionality of Sequential Monte Carlo For Bayesian Inverse Problems In Nonlinear Fluids

GA Robinson - 2019 - scholar.colorado.edu
Particle filters are a class of ensemble-based methods for solving sequential Bayesian
estimation problems. They are uniquely celebrated due to their provable convergence to the …