Systemic banking crises database II
L Laeven, F Valencia - IMF Economic Review, 2020 - Springer
This paper updates and expands the database on systemic banking crises presented in
Laeven and Valencia (IMF Econ Rev 61 (2): 225–270, 2013a). The database draws on 151 …
Laeven and Valencia (IMF Econ Rev 61 (2): 225–270, 2013a). The database draws on 151 …
Effects of financial development on energy consumption: The role of country risks
This study explores the impacts of country risks on the relationship between energy
consumption and financial development for 79 countries. By using the panel smooth …
consumption and financial development for 79 countries. By using the panel smooth …
Good booms, bad booms
Credit booms are not rare, some end in a crisis (bad booms) whereas others do not (good
booms). We document that credit booms start with an increase in productivity growth, which …
booms). We document that credit booms start with an increase in productivity growth, which …
Bond risk premia and the exchange rate
In emerging market economies, currency appreciation goes hand in hand with compressed
sovereign bond spreads, even for local currency sovereign bonds. This yield compression …
sovereign bond spreads, even for local currency sovereign bonds. This yield compression …
The real exchange rate and economic growth: A survey
M Rapetti - Journal of Globalization and Development, 2020 - degruyter.com
This paper offers a systematic survey of recent research evaluating the impact of the level
and volatility of the real exchange rate (RER) on economic growth. Existing empirical work …
and volatility of the real exchange rate (RER) on economic growth. Existing empirical work …
Predicting systemic financial crises with recurrent neural networks
E Tölö - Journal of Financial Stability, 2020 - Elsevier
We consider predicting systemic financial crises one to five years ahead using recurrent
neural networks. We evaluate the prediction performance with the Jórda-Schularick-Taylor …
neural networks. We evaluate the prediction performance with the Jórda-Schularick-Taylor …
Debt and financial crises
Emerging market and developing economies have experienced recurrent episodes of rapid
debt accumulation over the past fifty years. This paper examines the consequences of debt …
debt accumulation over the past fifty years. This paper examines the consequences of debt …
The effectiveness of macroprudential policies and capital controls against volatile capital inflows
J Frost, H Ito, R Van Stralen - 2020 - papers.ssrn.com
This paper compares the effectiveness of macroprudential policies (MaPs) and capital
controls (CCs) in influencing the volume and composition of capital inflows, and the …
controls (CCs) in influencing the volume and composition of capital inflows, and the …
International financial integration and crisis contagion
MB Devereux, C Yu - The Review of Economic Studies, 2020 - academic.oup.com
International financial integration helps to diversify risk but also may spread crises across
countries. We provide a quantitative analysis of this trade-off in a two-country general …
countries. We provide a quantitative analysis of this trade-off in a two-country general …
Coping with disasters: two centuries of international official lending
ABSTRACT Official (government-to-government) lending is much larger than commonly
known, often surpassing total private cross-border capital flows, especially during disasters …
known, often surpassing total private cross-border capital flows, especially during disasters …