Systemic banking crises database II

L Laeven, F Valencia - IMF Economic Review, 2020 - Springer
This paper updates and expands the database on systemic banking crises presented in
Laeven and Valencia (IMF Econ Rev 61 (2): 225–270, 2013a). The database draws on 151 …

Effects of financial development on energy consumption: The role of country risks

YB Chiu, CC Lee - Energy Economics, 2020 - Elsevier
This study explores the impacts of country risks on the relationship between energy
consumption and financial development for 79 countries. By using the panel smooth …

Good booms, bad booms

G Gorton, G Ordonez - Journal of the European Economic …, 2020 - academic.oup.com
Credit booms are not rare, some end in a crisis (bad booms) whereas others do not (good
booms). We document that credit booms start with an increase in productivity growth, which …

Bond risk premia and the exchange rate

B Hofmann, I Shim, HS Shin - Journal of Money, Credit and …, 2020 - Wiley Online Library
In emerging market economies, currency appreciation goes hand in hand with compressed
sovereign bond spreads, even for local currency sovereign bonds. This yield compression …

The real exchange rate and economic growth: A survey

M Rapetti - Journal of Globalization and Development, 2020 - degruyter.com
This paper offers a systematic survey of recent research evaluating the impact of the level
and volatility of the real exchange rate (RER) on economic growth. Existing empirical work …

Predicting systemic financial crises with recurrent neural networks

E Tölö - Journal of Financial Stability, 2020 - Elsevier
We consider predicting systemic financial crises one to five years ahead using recurrent
neural networks. We evaluate the prediction performance with the Jórda-Schularick-Taylor …

Debt and financial crises

WC Koh, MA Kose, PSO Nagle, F Ohnsorge… - 2020 - papers.ssrn.com
Emerging market and developing economies have experienced recurrent episodes of rapid
debt accumulation over the past fifty years. This paper examines the consequences of debt …

The effectiveness of macroprudential policies and capital controls against volatile capital inflows

J Frost, H Ito, R Van Stralen - 2020 - papers.ssrn.com
This paper compares the effectiveness of macroprudential policies (MaPs) and capital
controls (CCs) in influencing the volume and composition of capital inflows, and the …

International financial integration and crisis contagion

MB Devereux, C Yu - The Review of Economic Studies, 2020 - academic.oup.com
International financial integration helps to diversify risk but also may spread crises across
countries. We provide a quantitative analysis of this trade-off in a two-country general …

Coping with disasters: two centuries of international official lending

S Horn, CM Reinhart, C Trebesch - 2020 - nber.org
ABSTRACT Official (government-to-government) lending is much larger than commonly
known, often surpassing total private cross-border capital flows, especially during disasters …