Initialized Earth System prediction from subseasonal to decadal timescales

GA Meehl, JH Richter, H Teng, A Capotondi… - Nature Reviews Earth & …, 2021 - nature.com
Abstract Initialized Earth System predictions are made by starting a numerical prediction
model in a state as consistent as possible to observations and running it forward in time for …

Changing state of the climate system

SK Gulev, PW Thorne, J Ahn, FJ Dentener… - 2021 - centaur.reading.ac.uk
2 Chapter 2 assesses observed large-scale changes in climate system drivers, key climate
indicators and 3 principal modes of variability. Chapter 3 considers model performance and …

Heat and freshwater changes in the Indian Ocean region

CC Ummenhofer, SA Murty, J Sprintall, T Lee… - Nature Reviews Earth & …, 2021 - nature.com
Abstract Across the Indo-Pacific region, rapid increases in surface temperatures, ocean heat
content and concomitant hydrological changes have implications for sea level rise, ocean …

[HTML][HTML] Megadroughts and pluvials in southwest Australia: 1350–2017 CE

AJ O'Donnell, WL McCaw, ER Cook, PF Grierson - Climate Dynamics, 2021 - Springer
Declining winter rainfall coupled with recent prolonged drought poses significant risks to
water resources and agriculture across southern Australia. While rainfall declines over …

[HTML][HTML] Reconstructing an interdecadal Pacific oscillation index from a Pacific basin–wide collection of ice core records

SE Porter, E Mosley-Thompson… - Journal of …, 2021 - journals.ametsoc.org
Using an assemblage of four ice cores collected around the Pacific basin, one of the first
basinwide histories of Pacific climate variability has been created. This ice core–derived …

Natural and anthropogenic forcing of multi‐decadal to centennial scale variability of sea surface temperature in the South China Sea

NF Goodkin, D Samanta, A Bolton… - Paleoceanography …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Four hundred years of reconstructed sea surface temperatures (SSTs) from a coral located
off the coast of Vietnam show significant multi‐decadal to centennial‐scale variability in wet …

Multi‐proxy, multi‐season streamflow reconstruction with mass balance adjustment

HTT Nguyen, S Galelli, C Xu… - Water Resources …, 2021 - Wiley Online Library
Despite having offered important hydroclimatic insights, streamflow reconstructions still see
limited use in water resources operations, because annual reconstructions are not suitable …

[HTML][HTML] A multidecadal-scale tropically driven global teleconnection over the past millennium and its recent strengthening

X Feng, Q Ding, L Wu, C Jones, I Baxter… - Journal of …, 2021 - journals.ametsoc.org
In the past 40 years, the global annual mean surface temperature has experienced a
nonuniform warming, differing from the spatially uniform warming simulated by the forced …

The relative roles of decadal climate variations and changes in the ocean observing system on seasonal prediction skill of tropical Pacific SST

B Huang, CS Shin, A Kumar, M L'Heureux… - Climate Dynamics, 2021 - Springer
In this study, we examined the temporal variations of the El Niño-Southern Oscillation
(ENSO) prediction skill during 1958–2016 in the context of the evolution in the tropical …

[HTML][HTML] Fires in Amazonian blackwater floodplain forests: Causes, human dimension, and implications for conservation

TC Carvalho, F Wittmann, MTF Piedade… - Frontiers in Forests …, 2021 - frontiersin.org
The Amazon basin is being increasingly affected by anthropogenic fires, however, most
studies focus on the impact of fires on terrestrial upland forests and do not consider the vast …