Seasonal climate forecasts occupy an intermediate zone between weather forecasting and
climate projections. They share with the numerical weather prediction the difficulty of …

We present a new method that allows a separation of the attribution of human influence in
extreme events into changes in atmospheric flows and changes in other processes …

The influence of the snowpack on wintertime atmospheric teleconnections has received
renewed attention in recent years, partially for its potential impact on seasonal predictability …

Understanding the effects of climate variability and extremes on crop growth and
development represents a necessary step to assess the resilience of agricultural systems to …

Originally formed around a set of lectures presented at a NATO Advanced Study Institute
(ASI), this book has grown in scope and in aspiration to become organised and presented …

The skill of state-of-the-art operational seasonal forecast models in extratropical latitudes is
assessed using a multimodel ensemble from the Development of a European Multimodel …

Producing probabilistic subseasonal forecasts of extreme events up to six weeks in advance
is crucial for many economic sectors. In agribusiness, this time scale is particularly critical …

This study examines the influence of snow and soil moisture initialization on sub-seasonal
potential and actual prediction skill of Canadian Climate Model version 3 (CanCM3) …

Preparing for episodes with risks of anomalous weather a month to a year ahead is an
important challenge for governments, non-governmental organisations, and private …

We examine the potential predictability of an important Iberian river (Douro) based on the
coupling of a time series approach (ARMA) and previous seasonal sea surface temperature …