The application of predefined weather patterns over India within probabilistic medium‐range forecasting tools for high‐impact weather
A method is presented for deriving probabilistic medium‐range (1‐to‐2‐week) weather
pattern forecasts for India. This method uses an existing set of 30 objectively derived daily …
pattern forecasts for India. This method uses an existing set of 30 objectively derived daily …
[HTML][HTML] Deriving optimal weather pattern definitions for the representation of precipitation variability over India
This study utilizes cluster analysis to produce sets of weather patterns for the Indian
subcontinent. These patterns have been developed with future applications in mind; …
subcontinent. These patterns have been developed with future applications in mind; …
Comparison of different global ensemble prediction systems for tropical cyclone intensity forecasting
D Lu, R Ding, J Mao, Q Zhong… - Atmospheric Science …, 2024 - Wiley Online Library
Many meteorological centers have operationally implemented global model‐based
ensemble prediction systems (GEPSs), making tropical cyclone (TC) forecasts from these …
ensemble prediction systems (GEPSs), making tropical cyclone (TC) forecasts from these …
Evaluating short-range forecasts of a 12 km global ensemble prediction system and a 4 km convection-permitting regional ensemble prediction system
Abstract Information regarding the uncertainty associated with weather forecasts, particularly
when they are related to a localized area at convective scales, can certainly play a crucial …
when they are related to a localized area at convective scales, can certainly play a crucial …
A comparison of two statistical postprocessing methods for heavy‐precipitation forecasts over India during the summer monsoon
Accurate ensemble forecasts of heavy precipitation in India are vital for many applications
and essential for early warning of damaging flood events, especially during the monsoon …
and essential for early warning of damaging flood events, especially during the monsoon …
Relative economic value of global ensemble prediction system of NCMRWF, India, for extreme weather events
An ensemble prediction system quantifies the uncertainty in the forecast by a numerical
weather prediction model and helps in decision‐making. The global ensemble prediction …
weather prediction model and helps in decision‐making. The global ensemble prediction …
Grand ensemble forecasts verification based on two high resolution (∼ 12 km) global ensemble prediction systems
The primary objective of this study is to quantitatively assess the skill of grand-ensemble
forecasts generated from two high-resolution global ensemble prediction systems (EPSs) …
forecasts generated from two high-resolution global ensemble prediction systems (EPSs) …
Contribution of lagged members to the performance of a global ensemble prediction system
Abstract National Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasting (NCMRWF), India runs
operationally a global ensemble prediction system (NEPS-G) which has 23 ensemble …
operationally a global ensemble prediction system (NEPS-G) which has 23 ensemble …
[PDF][PDF] BCWC RESEARCH REPORT
S Bose, G Shanker, M Subba, MV Reddy, A Sarkar… - 2024 - ncmrwf.gov.in
Abstract Bhutan, a South Asian country located in the Eastern Himalayas, is an important
member of the Bay of Bengal Initiative of Multi–sectorial Technical and Economic …
member of the Bay of Bengal Initiative of Multi–sectorial Technical and Economic …